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Facebook knows when you'll break up

22 点作者 brettbender超过 14 年前

10 条评论

vaporstun超过 14 年前
CNN's crappy rip of the image cuts off everything past October losing some of the most important data (the lead up to the holidays and Christmas Day). They also cut off the months at the bottom so there's no way to accurately tell what is happening in what month.<p>Here is their source site which has a better version: <a href="http://www.geekosystem.com/facebook-breakup-graph/" rel="nofollow">http://www.geekosystem.com/facebook-breakup-graph/</a>
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BrandonM超过 14 年前
While it's possible that more breakups happen on Monday, I postulate that Monday is actually just the day that people are most likely to report a weekend breakup. People who break up aren't rushing to Facebook right away. A breakup can be a hugely emotional event. If it happens on Friday, Saturday, or Sunday morning, it is likely to be followed by spending a lot of time with family, very close friends, or generally being in denial. When Monday comes around, it's back to the daily grind, it's time to face reality, and telling everyone you know is one way to come to grips with the situation.<p>I would also argue that the pre-Christmas spike likely isn't because people are cheap. I think the main factor is that most people spend the holidays with family. Two possibilities come to mind: 1) one or both of the people in the relationship decide that the relationship is not worthwhile enough to take each other home to Mom and Dad, or 2) meeting the family over Thanksgiving leads to a breakup (it was awkward, the family didn't like the S.O., the S.O. didn't like the family, etc.).<p>All-in-all, I agree with the sentiment of several comments here that between the poorly-ripped image and the unjustified conclusions they jump to, the article is mostly crap.
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michaelchisari超过 14 年前
All this shows is when people are statistically most likely to break up. This cannot be used to predict a specific situation (ie, "when you'll break up"), only to generalize about broad data.
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kenjackson超过 14 年前
I agree that it would be more interesting to predict.<p>Has anyone taken Facebook data and seen if they could predict suicide or crime? Do people exhibit certain patterns before committing suicide or commiting some big crime spree?<p>It would also be interesting to see if it could determine if someone is cheating. Of course its harder to get data on when the cheating began to do a good analysis.
aasarava超过 14 年前
Seems flawed. If all that McCandless did was scrape status updates for "break up" and "broken up", he may well have included events referring to bands or other groups breaking up. It would have been better to look at changes in Facebook's relationship status.<p>Also, I'm not so sure it makes sense to assume, as the author of the article does, that breakups before Christmas have to do with money. If the data is even valid, then it's quite likely that breakups occur before Christmas because people don't want to go through the charade of spending Christmas together and possibly with each others' families if the relationship isn't going anywhere.
jhuckestein超过 14 年前
The spike on April 1st is because people joke <i>about</i> breaking up.<p>Other than that, the title is total linkbait.
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iamwil超过 14 年前
It would be interesting to be able to segment the graph by how long the relationship that was just broken up--mostly as a proxy for how long someone takes to recover from having broken up. Thus, you can find the best times of the year to be looking for singles.<p>If everyone took the same amount of time to get over the last relationship (which is not true), then we can just start looking for singles just a couple months after the spikes.
tyrmored超过 14 年前
That's a pretty curious and probably flawed metric to choose. Surely it would be better to find the actual "is no longer in a relationship" updates?<p>Sample size sucks too. Of only 10,000 status updates, how many would actually include those two phrases? I call bullshit.
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stephencelis超过 14 年前
Originally posted here: <a href="http://mathiasmikkelsen.com/2010/10/amazing-facts-about-facebook-and-breakups/" rel="nofollow">http://mathiasmikkelsen.com/2010/10/amazing-facts-about-face...</a><p>What are the rules re: reposts of vias?
achompas超过 14 年前
Right, the article examines breakups <i>ex-post.</i> That is, they can only identify breakups after they happen.<p><i>Ex-ante</i>, though...I remember hearing somewhere that Zuckerberg used to predict when people were about to split, because they could see whose profiles you were looking at.<p>If you started checking out potential partners with a high frequency, and you were in a relationship, Zuck et al. knew it wouldn't last long.