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Facebook’s grand plan for the future

39 点作者 beeker超过 14 年前

9 条评论

codelust超过 14 年前
Facebook is the big story of the decade, but I wish publications who do these puff pieces do a better job for covering the company.<p>The quote below is enlightening:<p>"This is a somewhat different Zuckerberg to the one the public knew just a year ago. In recent months he has transformed from an awkward wunderkind with a preternatural ability to anticipate where the web is going, into an amicable executive unafraid of laying out his grand plan."<p>So, Mark has become better at communicating the vision of where the web is going. And what exactly is this vision? It is that Facebook will grow and expand and with one of the largest audience platforms in the world, any move it makes into adjacent domains (places, deals) will be instantly successful. Talk about self-realizing prophecies and stating the obvious.<p>Next:<p>"In other words, the world will be experienced through the filter of one’s Facebook friends."<p>If you think this is a strength, it is actually not. On the open web the universe is the set of all indexed pages. On Facebook, this universe depletes to what your connections know/discover and now the pages that have the opengraph data on them. I do think that we are quite safe from a world which is exclusively experienced via Facebook because it can't, as things stand, represent the actual universe of information out there.<p>Facebook is a big and important company, but it is also at the height of a frenzy in a domain that is desperate to realize some of the potential it holds - thus the breathless accounts from media, bloggers and of course, the investors. We keep hearing about 500MM active users, but last I checked, they had about 130MM visits in a day, which is not too far off from what a Youtube gets at 103MM. Some degree of perspective is badly required in analyzing these companies, especially when you have nearly zero public data to rely on.
samd超过 14 年前
<i>The fear, according to people close to Google, is that as Facebook users index the web through their Likes and shares, Google’s algorithmic indexing of the web will become less relevant. “Search is a business that will be pretty profoundly disrupted by social media,” said Augie Ray, an analyst with ­Forrester Research. “Ultimately, what matters to you is not what Google thinks is important, it’s what your friends think is important.”</i><p>What ultimately matters to you is what you think is important. Whether Google's algorithms or Facebook's social graph better predicts what's important to you remains to be seen.<p>Actually, what really matters is what you will pay for. Google's algorithms are currently winning at figuring that out.
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waterlesscloud超过 14 年前
"According to comScore, about one in four online display adverts in the US now appears on Facebook."<p>Most of the Facebook ads are easily ignored, but some are quite well targeted to things I'm actually interested in.<p>There's far too many "get a college degree" ads that don't go away no matter how many times I give negative feedback on them. Note to facebook- if I explicitly reject an ad more than once, you're wasting opportunity by showing it to me again, no matter how high the ppc is for education-related ads.<p>But there's also a decent percentage of very, very niche items that are advertised that I am truly interested in. I click on FB way, way. WAY more than I do on any Google ads.
wallflower超过 14 年前
Maybe Robert Scoble was prescient [2009].<p>"Here’s the phases of Facebook:<p>Phase 1. Harvard only.<p>Phase 2. Harvard+Colleges only.<p>Phase 3. Harvard+Colleges+Geeks only.<p>Phase 4. All those above+All People (in the social graph).<p>Phase 5. All those above+People and businesses in the social graph.<p>Phase 6. All those above+People, businesses, and well-known objects in the social graph.<p>Phase 7. All people, businesses, objects in the social graph."<p><a href="http://scobleizer.com/2009/03/21/why-facebook-has-never-listened-and-why-it-definitely-wont-start-now/" rel="nofollow">http://scobleizer.com/2009/03/21/why-facebook-has-never-list...</a><p>&#62; The takeaway from that is that the social features are really the killer part of this,” Zuckerberg told me. “Having good social integration is more important than high-res photos.”<p>Look at the rapid rise of Instagram. If you make a product that makes you appear cooler to your friends and followers, you can attract a lot of users quickly.<p>[1] "Previously, Instagram reported 100,000 users in its first week post launch. The startup is now said to be close to the 1 million mark"<p><a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/mashable/20101203/tc_mashable/instagram_now_seeing_two_to_three_photo_uploads_per_second" rel="nofollow">http://news.yahoo.com/s/mashable/20101203/tc_mashable/instag...</a>
rubidium超过 14 年前
"During his presentation, Zuckerberg uses words such as 'revolution' and 'disruption'."<p>Fun to contrast this with Jobs thoughts from the interview that was on HN recently: "What's the biggest surprise this technology will deliver?<p>The problem is I'm older now, I'm 40 years old, and this stuff doesn't change the world. It really doesn't. "
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marciovm123超过 14 年前
'And while this may sound hubristic, it reflects Zuckerberg’s belief that Facebook’s map of human relationships is among the most important developments in business history. “That, I think, is the strongest product element we have,” he said. “And [most] likely one of the strongest product elements that ever has existed."'<p>I've been coming to grips with that statement being true.
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LeonardoLuz超过 14 年前
Working on something similar. The business plan is coming this February. In fact, I'm looking for financing to get it started.<p><a href="http://miximum.ca/en_newProjectPage-kiosk.html" rel="nofollow">http://miximum.ca/en_newProjectPage-kiosk.html</a><p>gallerytungsten, I agree with you that it's part of the race, but I believe Facebooks approach is fundamentally different.<p>What's important in this idea is that the content has to be geographically significant to the consumer. Some apps focus on other things, like game mechanics, search, etc. As mentioned in the FT.com article: "Facebook’s application can “check in” to a physical location, such as their local coffee shop,". Significant geolocalized information is key. For example, this concept clearly works a lot less well on a PC. Has to be on mobile or in my case a well localised kiosk.<p>The objective is to make it significant. Adding friend metadata to the info makes it more important to us.
gallerytungsten超过 14 年前
From the article:<p>"As Zuckerberg was still on stage, an analyst leans over to me and says, 'They just changed local commerce forever.' It wasn’t even lunchtime yet."<p>I'll be a contrarian. They're keeping up with their neighbors. Groupon, Living Social, Yelp, Foursquare. It's all part of the race.<p>The interesting thing for me is that reading the article generated my idea on a way to do better: offer the "local discounts" without the privacy intrusions, overly intensive emailing, or any of the other trade-offs that current solutions have as a byproduct.
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richcollins超过 14 年前
<i>from the web to the TV to the restaurants you choose to eat at – is informed by your stated preferences and your friends’ preferences</i><p>This is something we need to overcome, not accentuate.