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Can we survive technology? (1955) [pdf]

80 点作者 aidanrocke将近 6 年前

6 条评论

erostrate将近 6 年前
&quot;The carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere by industry&#x27;s burning of coal and oil-—more than half of it during the last generation—may have changed the atmosphere&#x27;s composition sufficiently to account for a general warming of the world by about one degree Fahrenheit.&quot;<p>&quot;Even in an airplane the number of vacuum tubes now approaches or exceeds a thousand. Other machines, containing up to 10,000 vacuum tubes, up to five times more crystals, and possibly more than 100,000 cores, now operate faultlessly over long periods, performing many millions of regulated, preplanned actions per second, with an expectation of only a few errors per day or week. Many such machines have been built to perform complicated scientific and engineering calculations and large scale accounting and logistical surveys. There is no doubt that they will be used for elaborate industrial process control, logistical, economic, and other planning&quot;
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the-dude将近 6 年前
&quot;The carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere by industry&#x27;s burning of coal and oil-—more than half of it during the last generation—may have changed the at­mosphere&#x27;s composition sufficiently to account for a general warming of the world by about one degree Fahrenheit. &quot;<p>edit : this PDF looks like it has been scanned, but the text is selectable. Not sure I have seen this before.
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damidekronik将近 6 年前
&quot;Consequently, a few decades hence energy may be free—just like the unmetered air—with coal and oil used mainly as raw materials for organic chemical synthesis, to which, as experience has shown, their properties are best suited.&quot;<p>I am wondering why this prediction is so off given how other ones are spot on? How the situation back then made John von Neumann believe it, and what happened differently, moving this into the realms of fantasy.<p>Perhaps if an another effort of a scale of the Manhattan Project had happened, the concept of the &quot;free energy&quot; would have been more realistic.
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hi41将近 6 年前
I remember the immortal words of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. about man being able to master technology and yet not have have grown comparably enough in spirituality to live as brothers.
aidanrocke将近 6 年前
For the kind of explosiveness that man will be able to contrive by 1980, the globe is dangerously small, its political units dangerously unstable.-John von Neumann
c3534l将近 6 年前
I&#x27;m not sure if there ever existed a man as ahead of his time as Von Neumann.
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