>Politically, the country is under international pressure to rein in its huge trade surplus.<p>The government doesn't feel any of this pressure, as it's not an internal issue they don't care.<p>I would argue that yes the yuan is likely to rise against the dollar, but because of high inflation (very very high in China) most assets would also rise in comparison to the dollar(Oil, Gold, Silver etc.)<p>Actually the only good reason to invest in the yuan I would think is diversification. It's not a good idea to keep your investments as cash during a time of high inflation.<p>In January 2006 Gold was $525, January 2010 it was $1125<p>Silver, January 2006 $9, 2010 $17, most assets are climbing fast in relation to cash, much faster than 25% over 5 years.