SoftBank Next 30-Year Vision (2010) [pdf]

Slide 43: Contention that Transistors are comparable to cells. This crazy talk is continued throughout the presentation.<p>Slide 44: Contends that Moore&#x27;s law will continue for the next 300 years.<p>Slide 58: A fantastic butchering of Maslow&#x27;s hierarchy of needs.<p>Slide 61: Unsubstantiated (probably wrong) claim life expectancy is going to linearly increase for the next 300 years.<p>Slide 73: Contention that storage scales at the same rate as number of transistors on a CPU and apparently conflates that with the power of a CPU.<p>Slide 82-85: Contention that we&#x27;ll acheive VR in... 2040.<p>I mean this presentation is just laughably shit. It&#x27;s like it&#x27;s written by someone who has no interest or understanding of the complexity of the things they&#x27;re meant to be talking about. You would have thought that people would see some of the absurd things that are just obviously rubbish and have it damage the credibility of the presentation, but apparently not.

On one slide, there&#x27;s a mention that in 2300, computers will have 10^60 elements in them.<p>However, there&#x27;s only 10^50 atoms on Earth.

500 bil operating income, won’t hire graphic designer to create a slideshow.

“The simplest way to view SoftBank is as an indebted holding company that owns a basket of assets, which are of mixed quality and often themselves indebted”.<p>For more context on Mr. Son and the fragility of SoftBank’s model, below recent Economist article is a good read<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.economist.com&#x2F;business&#x2F;2019&#x2F;11&#x2F;07&#x2F;hard-times-for-softbank" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.economist.com&#x2F;business&#x2F;2019&#x2F;11&#x2F;07&#x2F;hard-times-for...</a>

Has anyone written about the earliest origins of Softbank&#x27;s massive war chest?<p>You&#x27;d on occasion hear about Softbank in the late aughts but nothing worthy of note. And then suddenly just like that it was everywhere.<p>They hired Nikesh Arora who was let go just as swiftly as they hired him.<p><pre><code> As President &amp; Chief Operating Officer of SoftBank Corp. Arora received over $200 million in compensation over the last two years&quot; while at the head of Softbank&#x27;s operations. This pay package made him world&#x27;s highest paid executive.[1] </code></pre> Is there a rhyme to any of the stuff they do? Or is it on the whims and fancies of Masayoshi Son?<p>Is there an exhaustive read somewhere, on all of this?<p>[1]<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Nikesh_Arora#SoftBank_Corp" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Nikesh_Arora#SoftBank_Corp</a>.

300 year plan. No wonder they fell for WeWork.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=21297789" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=21297789</a><p>Adam Neumann: <i>“It’s important that one day, maybe in 100 years, maybe in 300 years, a great-great-granddaughter of mine will walk into that room and say, ‘Hey, you don’t know me; I actually control the place. The way you’re acting is not how we built it,&#x27;” he said.&quot;</i>

Oh, all of Masa Son&#x27;s &quot;visionary&quot; presentations are instant classics. Telepathic banking is my fav from his 300 year plan.

The scope of a 30 years vision I would be happy with would encompass the channeling of capital away from old fat clown bankers, toward its efficient distribution to young hungry minds.

If this wasn&#x27;t hosted by SoftBank, I would have thought its a parody created by someone with MS Paint and a poor grasp of English

Is this for real? Whoever made the slides was smoking some good stuff.

This looks like 133 startup memes rolled into a PDF.

Unfortunately the 30-year vision will take longer than the projected 30 years due to a slight miscalculation: the number of human brain cells is not 30B as it should for a 30year plan but is actually a bit larger. Number of neurons alone is 80+B therefore using the softbank-linear-interpolation-method, the targeted cloud-downloadable-happiness-rate of 30 EH (exa-happinesses) will not be realized in 30 years and takes least 80.

This deck doesn&#x27;t seem real.

The director needs to take a break from Final Fantasy style RPGs.

&quot;Zero speed network&quot;<p>Tricky but doable.

Quick tip if hangs: Zoom out a lot and then scroll

Then why did they invest in WeWork [&#x2F;s]

“Think til our brains crush”