TE
科技回声
首页24小时热榜最新最佳问答展示工作
GitHubTwitter
首页

科技回声

基于 Next.js 构建的科技新闻平台,提供全球科技新闻和讨论内容。

GitHubTwitter

首页

首页最新最佳问答展示工作

资源链接

HackerNews API原版 HackerNewsNext.js

© 2025 科技回声. 版权所有。

Ask HN: The Effects of the New Bubble

2 点作者 calebhicks超过 14 年前
There are dozens of stories pointing to a growing bubble in startupland, especially in Silicon Valley. Many of the stories have been on the HN homepage the last couple of days.<p>My question is, what effect will this have on the economy at-large? With most of the bubble investing happening in VCs and other private investments, how will this affect the public markets?

1 comment

knowsnothing613超过 14 年前
It'll be a neglible effect. The startup bubble will only hurt angels/VCs who continue to dump money into shitty/me2 companies, so they can collect their 10% management fees.<p>The real bubble is in commodities. All the extra $$$ the Fed is pumping into the US economy is leaking into the emerging markets, where banks can get a better ROI on their bets, instead of investing in US small businesses.<p>This asymmetry between the stagnant developed economies, and the bustling emerging markets may lead to global stagflation, from high inflation, and high unemployment.<p>The effects will be increasing political instability throughout North Africa/Middle East, that could enter Europe visa via her large North African diaspora.<p>Also, China may have to take greater action curbing its money supply, which could push the all resource-centric countries (Chile/Australia/Canada) into recession.<p>The solution is to incentivize big banks to give out more loans to small US business, which make up the bulk of US employment, instead of making abstracted bets on financial instruments.<p>The American financial system is broken, and with it American capitalism, because capital isn't reaching the most product parts of the economy. Rather, it's going to lucrative, short term bets, that may be unproductive for the economy in the LONG run.