Honest question -- I am trying to see how she and others arrive at these numbers. (Believe me, I'm not a burying my head in the sand ... quite the opposite. I'm very concerned.)<p>Italy has 8,500 who are still sick. And yet, reports are that their medical system (which is good) is completely overwhelmed, to the point where treatable elderly are not even diagnosed [1].<p>Yet the numbers indicate they have about 3 hospital beds per 1000, or 186,000 beds, which are normally 80% full. So that means, 37,000 beds available.<p>So, 8,500 cases (not all of whom are in the hospital) should not overwhelm 37,000 beds, right?<p>Perhaps the number of _doctors and nurses_ are overwhelmed? Anybody know where to get reliable stats on that?<p>Anybody see what I'm missing? Or do you think I've gotten incorrect info?<p>I'm trying to arrive at a rational prediction of how bad things could be in the US, and how soon.<p>[1] <a href="https://twitter.com/jasonvanschoor/status/1237142891077697538" rel="nofollow">https://twitter.com/jasonvanschoor/status/123714289107769753...</a>