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Epidemic Calculator

80 点作者 mxfh大约 5 年前

7 条评论

kangnkodos大约 5 年前
I would also like to see the following features:<p>- Enter the number of respirators in a country.<p>- Enter two fatality rates, with and without respirators.<p>Also, I don&#x27;t understand why the peak number of hospitalizations would be so sensitive to the initial number of infections. That doesn&#x27;t look right to me.
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nicpottier大约 5 年前
Super well done. Have you shared this with epidemiologists who have validated it? Hard to avoid some bugs no matter how careful you are!<p>What are the default values representing out of curiosity?<p>Seems the biggest bit here is the pause to intervention and how big your R0 is after intervention. Anything over 1 for the US population and it seems to get ugly fast.
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tmoertel大约 5 年前
Related SIR model: COVID-19 Hospital Impact Model for Epidemics from the Predictive Healthcare team at Penn Medicine (press release): <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;predictivehealthcare.pennmedicine.org&#x2F;2020&#x2F;03&#x2F;14&#x2F;accouncing-chime.html" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;predictivehealthcare.pennmedicine.org&#x2F;2020&#x2F;03&#x2F;14&#x2F;acco...</a><p>This one was made for hospital administrators and also estimates loads on their rooms and ventilators.
CSSer大约 5 年前
This is fantastic!<p>It would be nice to have a select input with countries that would update the population input based on the country selected. e.g. &quot;United States of America - 327,000,000&quot;. It also may be nice to have a text input along with the range such that you can choose to either manually key in a value or use the range.
mNovak大约 5 年前
Very cool!<p>Noticed first Death and Peak also appear to be sliders, a bit unclear how these are supposed to be used.
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mattsouth大约 5 年前
I would consider entering this to the scipy plotting comp: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;forms.gle&#x2F;SrexmkDwiAmDc7ej7" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;forms.gle&#x2F;SrexmkDwiAmDc7ej7</a>
oroul大约 5 年前
Great tool, what did you build this with?
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