So it seems that a lot of tech people and hipsters are leaving Facebook for other serves. Does hacker news see this as a growing trend (Facebook dying off)? What sort of time line?
I have definitely noticed a decline in activity on Facebook over the last 6 months. Whether this means people are going to leave or not is another question.<p>I have been on Facebook for about 4 (maybe longer) years and the activity seemed to peak between 2009 - 2010.<p>However, over the last 6 months, I have noticed that there is a definite decline in activity on everyone's pages. People comment much less if at all, likes have declined, people that were getting loads of feedback are now getting much less. (this is based on 2500 friends pages, most randoms as I used to DJ / radio part time which resulted in lots of random requests)<p>Perhaps the novelty has worn off and people are simply using it to stay in touch instead of entertain. To me it seems that earlier users are using it much less while older users and users from other countries are boosting its userbase and activity.
By the time you finish you're alternative and get out your service, Facebook is not going anywhere. Just integrate it. Whats it matter.. in dev time should not make a big difference if you're accounting for both paths.
Facebook doesn't seem to be dying to me. But personally I've never used used it, and neither do any of my friends (who all grew up with BBSes and IRC in the 90s and still use the latter). Looking at how quickly Myspace seemed to die though, who knows? Facebook could be dead in 5 years.
No, It doesn't look like Facebook will be dying off in the near future. If anything, Facebook will continue to grow if it can expand and attract users/members outside of the US and Europe.<p>Oh, and one more thing...<p>tech people > hipsters