TE
科技回声
首页24小时热榜最新最佳问答展示工作
GitHubTwitter
首页

科技回声

基于 Next.js 构建的科技新闻平台,提供全球科技新闻和讨论内容。

GitHubTwitter

首页

首页最新最佳问答展示工作

资源链接

HackerNews API原版 HackerNewsNext.js

© 2025 科技回声. 版权所有。

The Risks – Know Them – Avoid Them (COVID-19 infection event case studies)

72 点作者 mdturnerphys大约 5 年前

2 条评论

nkurz大约 5 年前
<i>In order to get infected you need to get exposed to an infectious dose of the virus; based on infectious dose studies with MERS and SARS, it is estimated that as few as 1000 SARS-CoV2 viral particles are needed for an infection to take hold.</i><p>As far as I know, this statement is somewhere between &quot;completely wrong&quot; and &quot;very misleading&quot;. There is no minimum number of viral particles necessary for infection. Rather, there is a curve of probability of infection depending on the number of viral particles. Going by the definition in the link[1] the author provides, &quot;The minimal infective dose is defined as the lowest number of viral particles that cause an infection in 50% of individuals (or ‘the average person’).&quot;<p>Which is to say that there is no dose that is &quot;safe&quot;, only doses that are less likely to cause an infection. Very brief exposures to 100 contagious people is just as likely to cause infection as a 100x exposure to one. Chance of infection is not a linear function of number of viral particles (since one can&#x27;t be infected more than once) but can be approximated as linear at low numbers of particles. I feel like this makes most of the rest of the article moot.<p>Am I wrong? Is the risk of infection actually sublinear below some threshold dose? Is there thus some &quot;safe&quot; exposure time that can be relied on? Or is the article as wrong&#x2F;misleading with regard to the risks to an individual as it seems?<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.sciencemediacentre.org&#x2F;expert-reaction-to-questions-about-covid-19-and-viral-load&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.sciencemediacentre.org&#x2F;expert-reaction-to-questi...</a>
评论 #23129937 未加载
taeric大约 5 年前
This page keeps crashing on my phone. I can get down to the toilette flushing.<p>The idea seems solid, but a bit too alarmist, all told. Are there studies that show this has the right vectors? (For that matter, the paper to go on a toilette... There any evidence that is useful?)
评论 #23128565 未加载
评论 #23128354 未加载
评论 #23128398 未加载
评论 #23129787 未加载