I bet if I swapped out xfce when someone was upgrading from win7 to 10, and could sed -i s/ubuntu|xfce/win|ms|etc/ in just the main screens maybe a quarter of all users would never notice. Buying a computer was a thing everyone took seriously in days past, clicking around the Dell website for days. Today, not so much. People often __still__ have a computer, and they view it that way. I can imagine many will not even other replacing aging machines once they croak.<p>Desktop linux will be bigger, probably much bigger, but as a share of the total desktop market. That market itself is not exactly promising. I think the last data I saw was that desktop sales had been falling for the better part of a decade! Counting laptops. With a dead cat bounce here or there.<p>This is all a roundabout way of saying that there is still a fight to be had for linux, but it's on phones. Desktop share will not be won, it will be conceded by the big guys as a sales pitch to the primarily techy types using it to embrace their SDK on mobile, where the money is.