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Every tech downturn has a silver lining

78 点作者 spatters大约 5 年前

7 条评论

bawolff将近 5 年前
&gt; My bet is always-on broadband. Virtual worlds, digital entertainment, gaming …. None of it would be possible without broadband. Today, we have about 100-250 Mbps in most modern homes. In some places, you can get a gigabit per second. Now imagine what we could do if, in ten years, we all have 10 gigabits per second in our homes, and we have in-home networks that are fast and fat.<p>Hmm. Kind of an interesting take. I predict the opposite. I think we have hit the diminishing returns on bandwidth. People don&#x27;t even know what to do with residential internet in the 100mbps. We can stream HD video (both up and down)...what else is there. If there are no applications straining at bandwidth limits now, im not sure improving them will make new products. If anything i think the best gains are going to be in latency and in mobile bandwidth. Cheap high speed, no data cap, internet for cell phones would be pretty great. But still i&#x27;d consider that incremental. I think its unlikely the next big technology enabler will be the same as the last one.<p>&gt; In 2001, we imagined a 100 Mbps future — and we got Google, a nearly trillion-dollar company.<p>Google was founded in 1998, and that was still the dial-up era. At the time, I was probably thinking a 1mbps future sounded pretty grand and couldn&#x27;t imagine 100mbps. Heck my internet right now isn&#x27;t even that fast.
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nayuki将近 5 年前
Related: <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.paulgraham.com&#x2F;badeconomy.html" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.paulgraham.com&#x2F;badeconomy.html</a> &quot;Why to Start a Startup in a Bad Economy&quot;
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bawolff将近 5 年前
&gt; Slack co-founder Stewart Butterfield might be a household name today, but in 2001<p>&#x27;Kay. Maybe in your household.<p>Is this really a tech downturn? Yes, some companies are laying people off, with gig-economy things particularly hard hit, but the entire economy is a mess right now. It doesn&#x27;t seem like tech is relatively more affected than other industries.<p>I do agree with the general premise that a bubble bursting is like a forest fire clearing away all the bullshit (along with many people&#x27;s livlihood), and the current tech industry has a lot of BS ripe for being cleared away.
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adamcharnock将近 5 年前
&gt; My bet is always-on broadband. Virtual worlds, digital entertainment, gaming …. None of it would be possible without broadband. Today, we have about 100-250 Mbps in most modern homes.<p>I’m literally sat in a bank right now opening a bank account for my new ISP company [1], so this is nice to hear!<p>I’m hoping to deliver speeds of around 100Mbit to the rather rural area of Portugal I live in.<p>[1]: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;gardunha.net" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;gardunha.net</a>
metrokoi将近 5 年前
Yes, the downturn may result in new technology and ideas, but almost all of them would have been possible without the pandemic. This article seems to be speculating a bit to find positives. Many of us are privileged to not be as worried about finances, but for the vast majority of Americans this is nothing like a snowday, as the author puts it. Some times are simply not as good as others, and that&#x27;s okay.
troughway将近 5 年前
After scrolling about 200vh or so for no good reason.<p>&gt;I remember feeling under a pall of gloom, going about with a dark cloud over my soul and tears in my eyes.<p>A little bit melodramatic, but okay.<p>&gt;The disparity between America’s haves and have-nots has been laid bare. The inefficiency of our legislators has made us the laughing stock of the planet (so much so that an opinion writer at the Irish Times even felt pity for America).<p>Everyone is entitled to their opinion, even The Irish Times.<p>&gt;Slack co-founder Stewart Butterfield might be a household name today<p>Other comments covered this nonsense.<p>&gt;To be clear, those being laid off are previously pampered full-time employees and not the gig workers who are treated as disposables by these big companies.<p>&gt; Yes, the future is unknown and it is worrying, but pause for a minute and think about what the future of work looks like: less peer pressure and office politics, less need to run around looking pretty or showing up to show you’re there no need to chase crazy trends and shiny objects, and a lot less emphasis on working just to make sure people see you working.<p>The latter statement can only apply to the former if the &quot;You&quot; is a &quot;pampered full-time employee&quot;. Because I doubt the &quot;gig workers&quot; have seen what office politics look like.<p>So then, what&#x27;s the point of this statement?<p>Rest of the article tries to imagine a future that ignores evolutionary biology, the need for people to connect through more than just a virtual presence, and proclaims we live in the past.<p>Lastly the &quot;have and have nots&quot; bullshit tirade is nicely wrapped up by the author mentioning they&#x27;re an angel investor for Slack.
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joelbluminator将近 5 年前
Are we actually in the midst of a tech downturn though? I mean tech valuation are back to what they were pre corona pretty much. Did VC money completely dry up?
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