Apple Will Fight For the Low-End

He's misconstruing what happened with Mini and Nano iPods. At introduction the iPod Mini only cost $50 less than the full-size $400 iPod, with less storage, and it was perceived as a pricing misstep until they sold a jillion of them. People couldn't get their heads around the idea that Apple wasn't selling a cheaper device, they were selling a smaller device. Some people still can't.<p>This lesson is not applicable to Apple's current crop of devices, because introducing a new screen size would throw a huge monkeywrench into app development. Anybody blithely asserting that Apple might do it to save a few cents on production has a credibility problem.<p>So, this post boils down to an assertion that Apple could allow manufacturing prices to dictate the size of a device, even though changing the size would have dire effects on its usability and market acceptance. Does that sound like Apple to you?

As far as tablets go, isn't the iPad already on the low end? No reason to undercut the lowest priced mainstream tablet when they are the lowest priced mainstream tablet.

I'd argue that the way Apple got into the iPad market was extremely different from the iPod. Apple's iPod play was very low key and niche at the time. The iPad, in contrast, is a mass market product Apple waited for the timing to be just perfect on. It required the technology to get where Apple wanted it and Apple's (now) enormous scales of economy.

I disagree.<p>What I think might show up is, ahem, an iPod Touch Maxi with a 4" or 5" screen. Which would be identical to an iPod Touch in every way except for being scaled up 30% (including in pixel size) -- like the Nintendo DSi XL.<p>Target market for this device would be people like me -- i.e. over 45s with presbyopia/fat finger, who want a physically slightly larger device with the same UI and apps as the iPod Touch. A secondary market would be ebooks: the iPhone/iTouch screen is just too small to be comfortable, but a larger screen at the same (retina display resolution) with larger UI elements but scaled text (to display more of it for reading) would be fine. Scaling up the compact iOS interface (iPhone/iTouch) doesn't require redesigning apps in the same way that scaling down the iPad UI would; you can use a small app on a larger screen, it's going in the other direction that's painful.<p>I suspect the BOM for a larger iTouch would be insignificantly costlier than a regular iTouch, so this would permit them to hit the $300 price point without cutting their margins significantly.

Hasn't Apple been slowly (but steadily) losing market share in the iPod/MP3 player arena since, oh I don't know... 2003?<p>// does some research:<p>82% in 2004 74% in 2005 72% in 2007<p>I see a trend. Okay, the rate of decrease is dropping. Maybe they will settle in around two thirds of the MP3 market, until the <i>next</i> disruptive technology comes along and turns it all on its head again.<p>I don't know that this is 'winnning the war'. I'm certainly not saying that Apple is in a bad position, they just don't seem to have achieved that Microsoft-esque monopoly death grip that I would associate with 'winning a war'.