So far, right on 2 out of 9 predictions. Here are the nine predictions and their current status:<p><i>> The great top-down nation-state will be only cosmetically alive, weakened by deficits, politicians' misalignment of interests and the magnification of errors by centralised systems. The pre-modernist robust model of city-states and statelings will prevail, with obsessive fiscal prudence.</i><p>1. So far, NOT TRUE. Nation-states still dominate the global landscape, and a majority have annual budget deficits (i.e., there is no "fiscal prudence").<p><i>> Currencies might still exist, but, after the disastrous experience of America's Federal Reserve, they will peg to some currency without a government, such as gold.</i><p>2. So far, NOT TRUE. AFAIK, no national currencies are pegged to gold nor to some other "currency without a government". Currencies created by government fiat dominate.<p><i>> Companies that are currently large, debt-laden, listed on an exchange (hence “efficient”) and paying bonuses will be gone. Those that will survive will be the more black swan-resistant—smaller, family-owned, unlisted on exchanges and free of debt. There will be large companies then, but these will be new—and short-lived.</i><p>3. So far, NOT TRUE. Most companies that are large, debt-laden, and exchange-traded are still around in their current form, though many have been supported by government largesse during the covid-19 pandemic.<p><i>> Most of the technologies that are now 25 years old or more will be around; almost all of the younger ones “providing efficiencies” will be gone, either supplanted by competing ones or progressively replaced by the more robust archaic ones. So the car, the plane, the bicycle, the voice-only telephone, the espresso machine and, luckily, the wall-to-wall bookshelf will still be with us.</i><p>4. So far, TRUE.<p><i>> The world will face severe biological and electronic pandemics, another gift from globalisation.</i><p>5. TRUE on the biological front!!!<p>6. So far, NOT TRUE on the electronic front.<p><i>> Religious practice will experience a revival, seen as a conveyor of robust heuristics, cultural values and rituals.</i><p>7. So far, NOT TRUE. See, for example: <a href="https://www.pewforum.org/2019/10/17/in-u-s-decline-of-christianity-continues-at-rapid-pace/" rel="nofollow">https://www.pewforum.org/2019/10/17/in-u-s-decline-of-christ...</a><p><i>> Science will produce smaller and smaller gains in the non-linear domain, in spite of the enormous resources it will consume; instead it will start focusing on what it cannot—and should not—do.</i><p>8. So far... MAYBE? I mean, we have seen remarkable advances in AI (vision, NLP, speech, etc.), distributed systems (e.g., blockchains), quantum computing (Google, IBM, others), space exploration (Tesla, Blue Origin, others), green energy (Tesla again)... I'm inclined to say, as of yet, NOT TRUE.<p><i>> Finally, what is now called academic economics will be treated with the same disrespect that rigorous (and practical) minds currently have for Derrida-style post-modernist verbiage.</i><p>9. So far, NOT TRUE. Academic economists still seem to be treated with about as much respect as in 2010.