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Ted Williams's Strike Zone

157 点作者 dedalus将近 5 年前

11 条评论

melling将近 5 年前
Warren Buffett has a picture of this in his office. He often uses it to explain how he invests.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;omaha.com&#x2F;money&#x2F;buffett&#x2F;warren-buffett-waits-for-a-fat-pitch-before-taking-a-swing-and-making-an-acquisition&#x2F;article_40026e55-60c2-54b6-95c5-bbee134d1696.html" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;omaha.com&#x2F;money&#x2F;buffett&#x2F;warren-buffett-waits-for-a-f...</a><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;seekingalpha.com&#x2F;article&#x2F;4157066-science-of-investing-invest-within-your-circle-of-competence-to-crush-just-like-buffett" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;seekingalpha.com&#x2F;article&#x2F;4157066-science-of-investin...</a>
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tonystubblebine将近 5 年前
I&#x27;d been using a baseball metaphor for my own change in strategy recently.<p>I don&#x27;t think I&#x27;m meant to hit home runs. I don&#x27;t mean just that the luck hasn&#x27;t struck. It&#x27;s more that I don&#x27;t feel particularly connected to the mainstream and where they are headed, am sort of unreasonable about how I think the world should work in a way that makes me the opposite of a heat seeking missile, don&#x27;t love scalable acts like creating a business that can scale on top of cookie-cutter jobs or on top of advertising or virality.<p>And sure, maybe I&#x27;ll get lucky, and I&#x27;ll get to that. But I decided to stop going up to the plate trying to hit a home run.<p>When I had venture capital, I thought I was Barry Bonds. But now that I don&#x27;t, I realized I&#x27;m Tony Gwynn.<p>I go up to the plate trying to hit a single. If I have a runner on base, I try to move them over.<p>For my intention, a single is a business that will generate $10k in profit, has the potential to continue for several years, and can be completely run by other people, leaving me with time to go up to the plate again.<p>What I found last year is that I have enough time&#x2F;energy to attempt about six singles and that I connected on three of them. And it feels similar this year.<p>You can score a lot of runners just by hitting singles and I think there&#x27;s a better chance that will happen for me than when I was trying to hit home runs.<p>The driving force for me though was wanting different optimizations. It&#x27;s depressing to strike out year after year. And so hitting singles has a lot more positive reinforcement. And then two, I wanted to make more money, which has happened because these singles pay off immediately.<p>Last, there is always the possibility of an inside the park homerun. Maybe I&#x27;ll hit a line drive to the outfield, the fielder will kick the ball, lose track of it, chase it down, overthrow third, and I&#x27;ll come running home.
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callmeed将近 5 年前
Wild to see this on HN. I&#x27;m a huge baseball nut and Ted Williams was my father&#x27;s hero so naturally I learned a lot about him as a kid.<p>I believe this image is from his book <i>The Science of Hitting</i>.<p>Williams has a fairly fascinating biography and I&#x27;d encourage people to browse his story a bit. A few interesting things about him:<p>- He served in both World War II and the Korean War. During the latter, he crash landed his plane after it took heavy fire.<p>- He was an amazing angler and at times held tarpon or bonefish records. I believe he&#x27;s also in the fishing hall of fame.<p>- He was actually a terrible baseball manager. Most people attribute this to giving no attention to pitchers and not being able to handle that his players simply weren&#x27;t as gifted or as disciplined as him.<p>- He was the last player to have a batting average &gt; .400 for a full season [1] but amazingly did not win the Most Valuable Player award that year. It went to Joe DiMaggio.<p>[1] For those who don&#x27;t follow baseball, this is calculated as (hits &#x2F; at bats) and generally the modern-day leaders vary between .330 and .375 (see <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.baseball-reference.com&#x2F;leaders&#x2F;batting_avg_top_ten.shtml" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.baseball-reference.com&#x2F;leaders&#x2F;batting_avg_top_t...</a>).
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dhritzkiv将近 5 年前
A shame the resolution is so low. Zooming in, the numbers are illegible.<p>I found a higher-resolution version[1] on a Deadspin article[2].<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;i.kinja-img.com&#x2F;gawker-media&#x2F;image&#x2F;upload&#x2F;19e2qerif7ffcjpg.jpg" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;i.kinja-img.com&#x2F;gawker-media&#x2F;image&#x2F;upload&#x2F;19e2qerif7...</a><p>[2] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;deadspin.com&#x2F;the-beautiful-infographics-of-ted-williamss-the-scienc-1511889371" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;deadspin.com&#x2F;the-beautiful-infographics-of-ted-willi...</a>
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rosywoozlechan将近 5 年前
I like this kind of technical technique break down in sports. It&#x27;s interesting how you can break down a problem into a system like this and then focus on that system as a way to improve. It&#x27;s similar to improving optimal outcomes in other systems, like driving more engagement in your app, improving uptime of your service, improving the speed at which your product flies off of shelves at the supermarket, improving your performance in a video game, or how optimal your shipping pipeline is from your manufacturing hub.<p>It&#x27;s just a very neat thing to do, figure out what your problem is, whatever it may be, in a way that you explain a path to improving outcomes.
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dfxm12将近 5 年前
I know my strike zone. When a project gets handed my way that I know is not suited to my strengths&#x2F;job description and lines up particularly well with someone else&#x27;s on the team, I communicate that to my manager. Unfortunately, my manager is batting 1.000 when it comes to ignoring me :). I don&#x27;t even get a token &quot;this is something I need you to improve in&quot;.<p>If I wasn&#x27;t so busy or if every project wasn&#x27;t &quot;highest priority&quot;, it might not matter as much.
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phjesusthatguy3将近 5 年前
I&#x27;m surprised by the &quot;The Slight Upswing is Best&quot; graphic. I understand Cub-Scout-softball-playing-me isn&#x27;t any example at all for what a professional-league baseball player should do, but I <i>always</i> internalized swinging up and through the pitch, and I was the best batter in my league. Is (or was) there some explanation for why you would want to swing flat at a ball?
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wwarner将近 5 年前
That&#x27;s a great batter&#x27;s point of view. Here&#x27;s a pitcher&#x27;s POV [0], a poster breaking down the different pitches. ”Hitting is timing. Pitching is upsetting timing.“<p>[0] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;s3.amazonaws.com&#x2F;my.llfiles.com&#x2F;00120380&#x2F;pitch-grips.pdf" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;s3.amazonaws.com&#x2F;my.llfiles.com&#x2F;00120380&#x2F;pitch-grips...</a>
every将近 5 年前
Somewhat in the same vein, I can heartily recommend &quot;Weaver on Strategy&quot;:<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;tht.fangraphs.com&#x2F;on-weaver-on-strategy&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;tht.fangraphs.com&#x2F;on-weaver-on-strategy&#x2F;</a>
vermilingua将近 5 年前
Seems baseball and poker have more in common than I’d realised.
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TwoBit将近 5 年前
Being that Ted Williams was the greatest batter of all time, for most other hitters the numbers would probably all be lower.
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