TE
科技回声
首页24小时热榜最新最佳问答展示工作
GitHubTwitter
首页

科技回声

基于 Next.js 构建的科技新闻平台,提供全球科技新闻和讨论内容。

GitHubTwitter

首页

首页最新最佳问答展示工作

资源链接

HackerNews API原版 HackerNewsNext.js

© 2025 科技回声. 版权所有。

Japan to raise Fukushima crisis level to worst, same as Chernobyl

22 点作者 chailatte大约 14 年前

4 条评论

patio11大约 14 年前
This makes for a good lesson in marketing and measuring things. In marketing, if you change the name of a thing on an arbitrary scale, that's newsworthy. If it hits the best/worst thing on the arbitrary scale, that's newsworthy. No actual human being gets a banana worth of radiation more or less because this is a 7 as opposed to a 6 -- it is totally a marketing event.<p>In terms of measuring things: scales with &#60; 10 points on them do very, very poor jobs at compressing certain distributions. It's kind of like saying that someone is in income quintile 5 -- the same quintile as Bill Gates! If you didn't know that the underlying distribution of incomes looks like what it looks like, you might assume that second person is omg rich. (Quintile 5 starts at about $90k a household.) Similarly, the scale of nuclear accidents from "non-event" to Chernobyl to "hypothetical-end-of-the-world" has an awful lot of very consequential dynamic range in it. The <i>overwhelming</i> takeaway among lay people from this marketing event is going to be "Fukushima is about as bad as Chernobyl" -- that is objectively, dangerously false, just like "X is about as rich as Bill Gates" is likely catastrophically wrong and would lead to terrible decisions if you acted on it.
评论 #2435777 未加载
评论 #2435790 未加载
rhygar大约 14 年前
No need to worry, nuclear power is just fine and perfectly safe for day to day power needs.
chailatte大约 14 年前
"Haruki Madarame, chairman of the commission, which is a government panel, said it has estimated that the release of 10,000 terabecquerels (a trillion becquerels) of radioactive materials per hour continued for several hours (after the quake)"<p><a href="http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/2011/04/84721.html" rel="nofollow">http://english.kyodonews.jp/news/2011/04/84721.html</a>
评论 #2435748 未加载
phlux大约 14 年前
Here is a vid talking about how the fuel rods shattered/melted:<p><a href="http://vimeo.com/22209827" rel="nofollow">http://vimeo.com/22209827</a>