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Are Elections Random?

3 点作者 jopolous超过 4 年前

1 comment

jopolous超过 4 年前
A great article from a friend of mine that brought up thoughts on responsible use of statistics and public perception of statistical models vs qualitative analysis.<p>I&#x27;ve really appreciated the wording in fivethirtyeight&#x27;s election forecasting, with an emphasis on the frequentist interpretation of &quot;Biden has an x&#x2F;100 shot of winning&quot;, since I think it&#x27;s the easiest to formalize in a way that the average US citizen without a mathematical background would understand.
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