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The Plague Year

135 点作者 jsomers超过 4 年前

10 条评论

tomohawk超过 4 年前
&gt; The first occurred on January 3, 2020, when Robert Redfield, the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, spoke with George Fu Gao, the head of the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention<p>By this time, Taiwan had already started quarantining travelers from China (starting Dec 31). They were bitten by the lack of transparency and paranoia of the China government with SARS in 2003, so had developed a focus on outbreaks in China so as not to be caught unawares again.<p>The US CDC failed to learn from SARS and we&#x27;re paying the price now. No one should trust that China will be forthcoming and transparent about these matters. The CDC needs to learn to &quot;trust, but verify&quot;. They didn&#x27;t verify, and they trusted a source with a long history of not being truthful or timely in divulging information.<p>Also, by this time, Dr Li had been hauled down to the police station and forced to recant his warning that this was human transmissible. So, the wheels of CCP governance were already grinding the truth under foot.
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Exmoor超过 4 年前
For what its worth, this article is the best thing I&#x27;ve read on the pandemic in the USA in the last year and I&#x27;m glad it finally hit the front page. It&#x27;s incredibly long, but I found the part 25% or so that focused on the USA&#x27;s early failures at detecting the virus most enlightening and horrifying. I&#x27;d suggest reading at least that part.<p>In case you hit the paywall: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.md&#x2F;on1X2" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.md&#x2F;on1X2</a>
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neonate超过 4 年前
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;web.archive.org&#x2F;web&#x2F;20210102201702&#x2F;https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.newyorker.com&#x2F;magazine&#x2F;2021&#x2F;01&#x2F;04&#x2F;the-plague-year" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;web.archive.org&#x2F;web&#x2F;20210102201702&#x2F;https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.newyo...</a><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;on1X2" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;on1X2</a>
mchusma超过 4 年前
The content that is there is good, so I would recommend this article, however it omits anything related to the FDA, or Operation Warp Speed. For an article that purports to describe the year of the virus, this is a huge gap.<p>I think the biggest mistake of this whole pandemic was none of the things listed, it was banning all vaccines for almost a full year. The FDA was granted far reaching powers by congress multiple times to ensure they can approve vaccines quickly in a pandemic. The FDA instead forced. So as badly as Trump handled the pandemic (and he did handle it badly), at least he wanted a fast vaccine. You might blame the first 100k deaths on the disease, but everything after that is due to the ban on the vaccine.<p>Now, as the vaccines are distributed they are requiring them to go through an ineffective CDC, who is holding back 50% of the vaccines, to the states who aren&#x27;t able to distribute more than 30% of what they get yet.<p>The FDA, CDC, and states need to just stop banning people from getting a vaccine. Let private industry help.<p>Should Trump have proposed legislation to fix this? Yes, but so should Democrats and Republicans. Our beaucracies failed, both parties failed. Even Biden is coming in with goals like &quot;vaccinate 100M in the first 100 days.&quot; What a low bar, since we have already bought 200M doses for delivery by the end of Q1 (70ish days into his term). So Biden&#x27;s goal seems to be &quot;not approve any more vaccines and try not to lose most of the vaccines we have.&quot; His goal should be vaccines for everyone that wants it within 60 days. That is achievable with existing supply+ Astrazeneca and if J&amp;J looks good too then that makes it a slam dunk, unless the government gets in the way again.
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u801e超过 4 年前
I was surprised that there was no mention of the COVID tests from the WHO and why the US did not make use of them.
mhh__超过 4 年前
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.vanityfair.com&#x2F;news&#x2F;2020&#x2F;05&#x2F;trump-obama-coronavirus-pandemic-response" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.vanityfair.com&#x2F;news&#x2F;2020&#x2F;05&#x2F;trump-obama-coronavi...</a><p>This article is also a nice microcosm of the whole American situation
rgovostes超过 4 年前
For subscribers to the print edition, this article spans 40 pages and space in the issue is dedicated to little else. I haven’t worked through the entire thing yet to decide if this is due to the gravity of the reporting or is typical of an end-of-year slowdown at the publisher.
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thepangolino超过 4 年前
&quot;plague&quot;<p>Diarrhea probably ended up killing more people than SARS-CoV-2 in 2020.
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paulpauper超过 4 年前
this must be the longest article ever. the audio version is 3.5 hours, or about one LOTR movie<p>TBH, I don&#x27;t think it matters that much. The virus is a serious situation but the stock market is acting like the worst is long over. I know the stock market is not the economy , but I think it is no longer a catastrophe but rather more like a wildfire. It could have been a far worse situation if the IFR was 2-4% as originally feared back in Feb-March. Then we would probably be seeing the S&amp;P 500 about 50-70% lower than it is now, cuz when you got airborne cancer, that is not exactly something you can patch over by throwing stimulus money at it. Now it&#x27;s more like a bad flu in terms of IFR for middle-aged people, but worse though for elderly, so I don&#x27;t want to dismiss that. But it could have bene sooo much worse, and we were spared that.
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JimTheMan超过 4 年前
&gt;&gt; &quot;If flights from China were halted, Matt asked, could America have more time to prepare?<p>Paul was hesitant. Like most public-health practitioners, he held that travel bans often have unintended consequences. They stigmatize countries contending with contagion. Doctors and medical equipment must be able to move around. And, by the time restrictions are put in place, the disease has usually infiltrated the border anyway, making the whole exercise pointless&quot;<p>Except Australia and New Zealand have shown that is not really true. If you shut the border early enough and police it well enough, you can suppress the virus.<p>The idea that doctors can&#x27;t travel doesn&#x27;t have to be true. Put them in hotel quarantine for 14 days on arrival and then get them to work. 14 days on the way back too. All too often I hear problems(excuses truly) as to why something can&#x27;t be done. But with additional planning and willpower (and not just rolling over) it can be.
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