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The Coming Disruption

15 点作者 socialmediaking大约 14 年前

6 条评论

6ren大约 14 年前
&#62; A disruptive innovation occurs when long-standing assumptions in a marketplace are tested and successfully challenged by upstarts.<p>A disruption innovation is a new way of doing things, often based on technology (but can be a different business model), that at first is not good enough for mainstream users. So it is no threat to incumbents, and no competitive response is provoked. But it is good enough for some other users and usages, and it can gradually improve in this safe backwater... until one day, it is good enough for mainstream users - but it also has some other benefits (that appealed to those other users), and so, suddenly, they switch. This is a disruption.<p>The difficulty for incumbents is that (up til then), their customers didn't want it. They might even have tried to force it on their customers, but with no response. Because good management will listen to customers, and try to serve them, it makes it even harder for them to deal with approaching disruptions, even if they see them clearly.<p>Another problem is that while incumbents may keep on improving their product (so it is still clearly, overwhelmingly superior to the disruption), the key to the effect is that their product has become more than good enough. So it doesn't matter that it's better it's like offering ever more water to a man who was thirsty, but is now full.<p>Note that there are many parts to this scenario, and a candidate innovation might fall down at many points - it might not be possible to improve it enough for mainstream users; there might be a way for incumbents to co-opt it; a great company can sometimes disrupt themselves (cannibalizing their own sales); yet another disruption might improve enough before this one did, etc.<p>Two big take-homes for me:<p>- to be aware of what people want, not just making better widgets.<p>- making a product that some people want, but that is not yet perfect and not yet ideal for them, is a <i>good</i> thing.
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nazgulnarsil大约 14 年前
Oh please. The overwhelming urge to label everything a movement is ridiculous. The internet is allowing intelligent young people to start building value without the years of network building. Of course some of them will be standouts.
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michaelchisari大约 14 年前
<i>Become a part of the disruptive generation creating workable, realistic self-employment on the free-agent knowledge market.</i><p>I really, really don't even know how to respond to this article. I guess the biggest issue, beyond the over-use of vague buzzwords, is that it picks at it's central example someone who doesn't seem to have really made any considerable accomplishments or achieved any tangible success.
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slyall大约 14 年前
I wonder if a degree will go the way of some of the Industry Certs like CCNA and MCSE. 10-15 years ago the only people who got those were people who were serious about IT and often had been working on those platforms for years.<p>Then the dot-com boom happened and people just bought study guides to get the certs and you got complaints about people with the certs who didn't know what they were doing.<p>2 results of that are that the certs got harder and employers started ignoring them since they were not a good predictor of job performance.<p>Similarly with a degree, 40 years ago a degree meant you were top 10% and got you on the management track (or equivalent).<p>These days it is a much weaker signal, you're probably above average but maybe only a little bit. The top 20% of degree-less people probably beats out the bottom 20% of those with degrees.
drats大约 14 年前
The most interesting link is from the guy's uncollege page regarding the academic performance of homeschooled children.[1]<p>[1]<a href="http://www.hslda.org/docs/news/200908100.asp" rel="nofollow">http://www.hslda.org/docs/news/200908100.asp</a>
kevin_morrill大约 14 年前
Forbes = linkbait