Only? 30% change is huge for potential pandemic.<p>The lesson seems to be that moderate mortality rate pathogens can fly under the radar long time.<p>> By characterizing the likely dynamics of the virus before it was discovered, we show that over two-thirds of SARS-CoV-2-like zoonotic events would be self-limited, dying out without igniting a pandemic. Our findings highlight the shortcomings of zoonosis surveillance approaches for detecting highly contagious pathogens with moderate mortality rates. <a href="https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2021/03/17/science.abf8003" rel="nofollow">https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2021/03/17/scie...</a>