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‘Wuhan lab leak’ may be the biggest economic shock for decades

25 点作者 llimos将近 4 年前

4 条评论

derbOac将近 4 年前
One issue I have with this article is the assumption that this is about China, or that China is the appropriate target (if the lab leak theory is true).<p>One thing that&#x27;s been a bit confusing to me in this is why the &quot;lab leak&quot; hypothesis is discussed so much as the &quot;Chinese lab leak&quot; hypothesis and not as the &quot;US-Chinese experimental virology&quot; hypothesis.<p>Yes, the lab was in China, and yes, the lab leak hypothesis involves a security failure in that lab. However, if it is true (and I&#x27;m not even sure it can be shown to be true beyond a reasonable doubt at this point, which is another reason I don&#x27;t expect economic retaliation of any form), the broader problems involve a broader funding and scientific community around the Chinese lab, in a sort of circles or levels of closeness to Wuhan. What about the cover up and&#x2F;or pushback from US scientists, either the Wuhan collaborators in particular, or individuals more broadly? What about US NIH&#x2F;DHS funding of gain-of-function research? Etc etc etc. Who, in particular, should retaliation be pointed at? China? China and the US? The Wuhan lab and their international collaborators? The academic-industrial complex?<p>There&#x27;s plenty of blame to go around (if the lab leak theory is true, which it might not be), and it&#x27;s pretty diffuse (which is another reason, along with the passage of time, I suspect the origins of the pandemic will probably remain a mystery for a long time if not forever).
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jbrooksuk将近 4 年前
Paywall free link: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;2021.05.31-224815&#x2F;https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.telegraph.co.uk&#x2F;business&#x2F;2021&#x2F;05&#x2F;31&#x2F;wuhan-lab-leak-may-biggest-economic-shock-decades&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;2021.05.31-224815&#x2F;https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.telegraph.c...</a>
Traster将近 4 年前
Not a great title. It kind of implies an assumption the lab leak is true and that the lockdowns are the biggest economic shock- which, if the lab leak were true, would be a coherent title, but is clearly not what the article is about.<p>I actually think the article has it backwards though. The logic in the article is that China is important so sanctions will have a huge impact. In reality it works backwards. We only used sanctions if it&#x27;s not ipmortant to us. We use sanctions on Iran, on Russia. On countries hwere it really doesn&#x27;t matter to us that much, on countries where we can do much more harm to them than they to us. We won&#x27;t put sanctions on China for the same reason we&#x27;ll sell Saudi arms to be used in Yemen. International politics are largely performative.
politelemon将近 4 年前
&gt; Because governments would surely have no choice but to retaliate with sanctions and demands for full-scale reparations.<p>There will be some outrage for sure, but governments will surely know the consequences of sanctions. They&#x27;ll look to do something visible to cater to dentine, but overall effectively harmless, right?
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