I've looked at these data before and I wasn't convinced [0]. Primarily because the amounts were relatively small and even with insider info, it's not easy to forecast stock prices.<p>For instance, take David A Perdue<p>> David Perdue sold 44 times ($3.49 MM) in the 33 days following the closed senate meeting. Interestingly James Inhofe only transacted 8 times but the combined value of shares he sold was a whopping $4.12MM.<p>According to his spreadsheet, Perdue had one sale worth 3MM of CLDX on 1/23/2020 at $86.82 and on 3/23/2021 (?) the spreadsheet states it was $29.49. Today the stock is $98.96, so if he had not sold he'd be up 13%. There's no indication that he bought the stock back. The rest of the trades were a few thousand, which are tiny for someone worth $15MM.<p>You can play all sorts of games when you look at individual trades. I don't think politicians are above reproach, but I think it's incredibly difficult to get some information and be able to execute and time the market. If you told me on January 2020 that there would be a global pandemic for the next 1.5 years, I would never guessed the stock market would be up 15% in 2020!<p>[0] <a href="https://mleverything.substack.com/p/analyzing-us-senators-stock-picks-e8106bbbe8e" rel="nofollow">https://mleverything.substack.com/p/analyzing-us-senators-st...</a>