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Labour market reallocation in the wake of Covid-19

38 点作者 chanind将近 4 年前

3 条评论

dalbasal将近 4 年前
This seems right, but I think we&#x27;re seeing how resilient the real economy is, given appropriate financing. It&#x27;s almost always the financial&#x2F;monetary side that&#x27;s the problem.<p>An economy can usually make more of stuff, or substitutes, and&#x2F;or consume relatively painlessly. The pain kicks in when the financial sector feels pain. The real economy reshuffles if it&#x27;s financed adequately.<p>Monetary policy, currently, finds itself oddly theoryless. I think this has actually made for better decision making. The own goal of trying to save and&#x2F;or reduce debt in response to a shock hasn&#x27;t been scored.<p>So... I agree that the economy has had to do a lot of resource, shuffling. Some prices have gone up in the real economy. People are still unemployed, in sectors like travel that really got shut down. In others, there&#x27;s are some struggling to find labour. Mostly though, it&#x27;s a case of &quot;look how easy that was.&quot; In the financial economy, credit is available, keeping everything ticking.
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BlackVanilla将近 4 年前
The UK&#x27;s Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (where people are put on furlough and the government contributes to wages) seems to have damped the creative destruction usually seen in recessions. To use a basic example, assuming there will be more remote work in the future compared to pre-COVID times, there will likely be fewer people who commute and fewer people who buy sandwiches at Pret.<p>Perhaps a better solution is to make furlough portable, so that workers can read the writing on the wall and be part of the reallocation we are soon to see. [1]<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;blogs.lse.ac.uk&#x2F;covid19&#x2F;2020&#x2F;11&#x2F;05&#x2F;making-furlough-portable-would-encourage-people-to-move-into-new-jobs&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;blogs.lse.ac.uk&#x2F;covid19&#x2F;2020&#x2F;11&#x2F;05&#x2F;making-furlough-p...</a>
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LatteLazy将近 4 年前
Maybe occasional shocks to the labour market would be a good policy going forwards. It seems a lot of people have suddenly found much better jobs just by being forced to look...
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