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Ask HN: Studies on Covid-19 vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization/death

2 点作者 charbonneau2超过 3 年前
Most stories on vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization&#x2F;death look like this:<p><i>Nearly all COVID deaths in US are now among unvaccinated</i> - https:&#x2F;&#x2F;apnews.com&#x2F;article&#x2F;coronavirus-pandemic-health-941fcf43d9731c76c16e7354f5d5e187<p><i>Unvaccinated people were 11 times more likely to die of covid-19, CDC report finds</i> - https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.washingtonpost.com&#x2F;health&#x2F;2021&#x2F;09&#x2F;10&#x2F;moderna-most-effective-covid-vaccine-studies&#x2F;<p><i>CDC study shows unvaccinated people are 29 times more likely to be hospitalized with Covid</i> - https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cnbc.com&#x2F;2021&#x2F;08&#x2F;24&#x2F;cdc-study-shows-unvaccinated-people-are-29-times-more-likely-to-be-hospitalized-with-covid.html<p>All of them refer to heavily confounded data (e.g. no medical history) and I&#x27;m having difficulties finding more thorough studies.<p>Are better analyses available&#x2F;underway? Thank you!

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charbonneau2超过 3 年前
Another example of &quot;extensive unassailable and striking evidence&quot;: A death rate comparison between Romania, Bulgaria (low vax rate: 30.5% &amp; 20%) and other EU countries (high vax rate &gt;65%) [1].<p>The evidence looks &quot;striking&quot;, but when you start to cherry pick other EU countries, the evidence becomes ambiguous [2]. Germany&#x27;s vax rate is 66.2%. Poland&#x27;s 52.3%. Slovakia&#x27;s 42%. Yet, they all share a similar death rate.<p>Does that mean that there&#x27;s no difference between 42% and 66.2%? Or does it mean that it&#x27;s pointless to compare death rates between countries with different demographics, health care, etc..?<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;twitter.com&#x2F;BallouxFrancois&#x2F;status&#x2F;1452463999216459776" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;twitter.com&#x2F;BallouxFrancois&#x2F;status&#x2F;14524639992164597...</a><p>[2] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;imgur.com&#x2F;a&#x2F;tFC0wzV" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;imgur.com&#x2F;a&#x2F;tFC0wzV</a>