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Collapse of international mobility a key factor behind wages growth

80 点作者 kryptonomist超过 3 年前

8 条评论

timdaub超过 3 年前
Classic tweet and a reason I don&#x27;t like Twitter. It&#x27;s completely unclear what is being said here specifically even though I understand a tiny bit of economics.<p>It&#x27;d be better if the author would have either not said anything or took the time to formulate their thoughts into a piece of text worthy and representative of the complexity of the concept.
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seneca超过 3 年前
Stated another way, importing illegal immigrants has suppressed wages for Americans for decades. Nothing about that should be surprising.<p>Illegal immigrant labor is a key part if the American economy. These people are intentionally kept in a state of legal limbo. They&#x27;re tolerated, but always could be prosecuted and have their lives destroyed. This keeps them exploitable and able to be treated in ways we would never tolerate for American workers.<p>The entire game is that because they are breaking the law, employers can ignore labor law when it comes to employing them. It&#x27;s like any black market. The fact that everyone is breaking the law means all bets are off.<p>An imported serf class, intentionally kept in an exploitable legal state, is inherently going to reduce the leverage of labor that would otherwise occupy those jobs.
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kryptonomist超过 3 年前
&quot;The collapse of international mobility and therefore immmigration is a key factor behind wages growth acceleration in advanced economies.&quot;
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_Microft超过 3 年前
On Nitter for those without a Twitter account:<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;nitter.net&#x2F;C_Barraud&#x2F;status&#x2F;1459440257783549954" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;nitter.net&#x2F;C_Barraud&#x2F;status&#x2F;1459440257783549954</a>
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christkv超过 3 年前
I don’t see this as a problem at all. If anything it show how immigration is exploited to keep salaries artificially low and hurt the worker and lower middle class.
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YeGoblynQueenne超过 3 年前
Is it just me or is that graph labelled confusingly? The graph is titled &quot;Contribution of international migration to population growth&quot;, the x-axis is years and the y-axis is &quot;millions per year&quot;. Well, millions per year- what? Migration, or growth?<p>I think, from the accompanying snippet of text from JPMorgan that it&#x27;s meant to be population growth (&quot;the working-age population has been falling for almost two years&quot;) but in that case why is there only one line on the graph? Shouldn&#x27;t we be looking at the line for growth side-to-side with the line for migration? How does the graph show the relation between migration and growth?<p>I also don&#x27;t understand how &quot;population growth&quot; in the title of the graph becomes &quot;wages growth acceleration&quot; in the text of the tweet.<p>Also also: is this graph about &quot;international&quot; migration, as implied by &quot;international mobility&quot; in the tweet, or specific to the US, as implied by the subtitle of the graph, &quot;Source: Census Bureau J.P. Morgan&quot;?
aga98mtl超过 3 年前
The country as a whole is not better off if the wage growth causes inflation and economic slowdown. It amounts to a wealth transfer to those who work currently from those who retired and now live on fixed income. It&#x27;s a zero sum game.<p>Funnily I find that it&#x27;s the older people who are the most against immigration. Let them enjoy the high prices for anything that involves local labor.
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thatfrenchguy超过 3 年前
Correlation is not causation?
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