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Omicron does not grow “70 times faster” (bad math alert)

11 点作者 pjdorrell超过 3 年前
All we have so far is this press release: https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.med.hku.hk&#x2F;en&#x2F;news&#x2F;press&#x2F;20211215-omicron-sars-cov-2-infection<p>If the numbers in the graph are total growth in 24 hours, then omicron=10000 &amp; delta=~140.<p>Calculate log(10000)&#x2F;log(10000&#x2F;70) = 1.86<p>Ie, omicron grows 1.86 times as fast as delta, or 86% faster.<p>That&#x27;s significant, but 1.86 is a whole lot smaller than 70.<p>(If the numbers in the graph are something else, then we actually can&#x27;t tell what the ratio is.)

2 条评论

Flankk超过 3 年前
Actually, that&#x27;s 1.86 orders of magnitude. So the correct answer is 10^1.86.
评论 #29598527 未加载
Blackstrat超过 3 年前
As the professor from John Hopkins stated, it should be omi-cold. It is substantially milder than the other variants, less likely to lead to hospitalization or death. It’s just another political stunt.