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What caused the Great Recession? It could have been $18 beer.

28 点作者 aaronklein超过 13 年前

8 条评论

fanboy123超过 13 年前
Misleading intro to article. The expansion of credit was not due to over ambitious politicans who wanted homeownership for the poor. It was fueled by lax accounting and regulatory standards which expanded private securitizations of mortgages (did not involve freddie and fannie). This generated money which went into legislator pockets though.<p>It is true that subprime products gave politicians something good to speak to poor constituants about but credit standards were never allowed to drop very far for the federal agencies (other than FHA/VA etc) and their marketshare of mortgage bond issuance dropped as a result.<p>Despite being a highly regulated industry too little govt involvement in key spots was a primary cause of the bubble not too much.<p>I also am not entirely sure how swapping beer for mortgages makes the situation easier to digest.
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stephenjudkins超过 13 年前
I'm hesitant to wade into this debate, but this is a pretty sophistic argument, for a few reasons:<p>* He largely ignores the potential for a catastrophic financial collapse in 2008-2009. At the time, pretty much everyone agreed that stopping the bleeding was a good idea. Among economists, that some sort of vigorous action was necessary is close to a consensus view. To completely dismiss this is ridiculous. Further, he doesn't address how expensive TARP actually ended up being, or that the majority of the money has been paid back.<p>* The funds weren't obtained from "new taxes levied on employed, middle class, non-drinkers who have never set foot in Heidi’s bar." There has been no increase in federal income taxes since Obama took office. The only meaningful tax increases that I can recall come as part of the Affordable Care Act.<p>* The author makes no concrete arguments for why no changes to financial regulations are unnecessary. Instead, there's a glib aside that the 'government also announces a series of regulations to “fix” the problem'. Really? This is important. Tell us why. If the government had stopped banks from selling Heidi's bonds as AAA-rated securities, wouldn't this crisis have not happened?<p>Overall, this is a simple, facile metaphor with many implicit assumptions, designed to bolster the author's libertarian worldview. To the author's credit, he does a good job explaining the fundamentals of the housing crisis.
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a3camero超过 13 年前
I was expecting an article that began with Iceland and their ludicrously high beer prices denominated in Kroners.<p>Seems like this has limited hacker relevance.
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zeteo超过 13 年前
The quoted $18 price plays no role in the story; the point is that it was bought on <i>credit</i>, with the people taking the credit being insolvent, and that there was a systemic bias towards issuing them credit anyways.
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brunnock超过 13 年前
What is this guy talking about? TARP funds wound up costing only $19B and no new taxes were levied on the middle class.
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ericmoritz超过 13 年前
They forgot the part of the story where the government used public money to keep Heidi’s bar in business.
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rsanchez1超过 13 年前
He seems to think it was "free market principles at work" that caused this. It was those dangling carrots in front of poor people and convincing them that letting any Joe Scmoe borrow money for a house was a good thing. Now these same people are out there sympathizing with the people whose lives they destroyed and promising more things, such as putting all their loans under control of the government.<p>At least the bank can't send a swat team to my house to collect payments.
cateye超过 13 年前
The analogy would be even better with bread in stead of beer.
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