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Ask HN: Economy Simulator

5 点作者 brandoncarl将近 3 年前
Given that we are in unprecedented economic times, a fantastic economic simulator would be very valuable.<p>Not because it would be correct. Rather because it could potentially identify high probability situations we haven&#x27;t thought of.<p>What are the best projects of the kind that you&#x27;re aware of? Does anyone know how this is done at the Federal Reserve?

4 条评论

ak_un将近 3 年前
I&#x27;m not sure what would you like to simulate, but in the economy, you build models with a set of features you assume should influence the outcome, and then you can measure how well your model explains the reality.<p>I&#x27;m not sure if you&#x27;re right that such a simulator would be valuable. The thing is that we already can explain quite well what&#x27;s happening and have the means to fix stuff, but frequently there&#x27;s no political will to do so.
agent008t将近 3 年前
For what you are looking for, you need an agent-based model of the economy, i.e. the economy modelled from the ground up. Top-down models will not be able to capture unknown unknowns.<p>The closest to what you are looking for that I know of is this: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;github.com&#x2F;crisis-economics&#x2F;CRISIS" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;github.com&#x2F;crisis-economics&#x2F;CRISIS</a>.
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toomuchtodo将近 3 年前
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=31785199" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=31785199</a> ?
f0e4c2f7将近 3 年前
I&#x27;m not sure if this is exactly what you&#x27;re looking for but I felt like I learned more from the indie game Capitalism Lab than I would have from an MBA.
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