""It's been observed for years that there is some short interval in the archaeological sequence between when the city of Akrotiri was abandoned by its human population and before its burial under meters of pumice from the eruption. Even though several hectares have been excavated, no human skeletons have been found, so clearly people had warning of impending peril and left. No one's allowed for that in the past," Manning said. "By putting that extra qualification in, we tighten the statistical analysis."<p>The modeling identified the most likely range of dates for the eruption to be: between about 1609-1560 BCE (95.4% probability), or about 1606-1589 BCE (68.3% probability)."