Climate Endgame: Exploring catastrophic climate change scenarios

Models like this should be used to design efficient response and mitigation efforts. Like &quot;there&#x27;s a chance of a drought emptying the water reservoir, so let&#x27;s closely monitor the levels, move the water-intense agriculture to less affected areas, and use controlled burns to minimize the chance of massive wildfires&quot;.<p>Except instead, they get spearheaded by various kinds of attention seekers and corporate PR departments, and end up with policies that inconvenience the consumer while doing little to address the root cause. So no, we are not taxing agricultural water usage to make almond growing in areas with limited water supply unprofitable, we&#x27;ll instead shame people who want to have a shower every day. We won&#x27;t do anything about the planned obsolescence of plastic consumer-grade items with no spare parts, but we&#x27;ll force everyone to buy paper grocery bags (for more corporate profit) and separate garbage bags. The examples are endless - we make the policies based on emotions rather than the repeated cycle of quantifying, prioritizing and verifying, and then we wonder why everyone is depressed and does not believe in the future anymore.

&gt; PNAS was established in 1914<p>Unrelated, but they have been running an org called &quot;penis&quot; for almost 90 years. Wild.

We&#x27;ve been exploring them for 60 years.<p>None of the scenarios have come true.<p>How do you square that circle?<p>Below are 50 failed doomsday predictions<p>1. 1967: Dire Famine Forecast By 1975<p>2. 1969: Everyone Will Disappear In a Cloud Of Blue Steam By 1989 (1969)<p>3. 1970: Ice Age By 2000<p>4. 1970: America Subject to Water Rationing By 1974 and Food Rationing By 1980<p>5. 1971: New Ice Age Coming By 2020 or 2030<p>6. 1972: New Ice Age By 2070<p>7. 1974: Space Satellites Show New Ice Age Coming Fast<p>8. 1974: Another Ice Age?<p>9. 1974: Ozone Depletion a ‘Great Peril to Life<p>10. 1976: Scientific Consensus Planet Cooling, Famines imminent<p>11. 1980: Acid Rain Kills Life In Lakes<p>12. 1978: No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend<p>13. 1988: Regional Droughts (that never happened) in 1990s<p>14. 1988: Temperatures in DC Will Hit Record Highs<p>15. 1988: Maldive Islands will Be Underwater by 2018 (they’re not)<p>16. 1989: Rising Sea Levels will Obliterate Nations if Nothing Done by 2000<p>17. 1989: New York City’s West Side Highway Underwater by 2019 (it’s not)<p>18. 2000: Children Won’t Know what Snow Is<p>19. 2002: Famine In 10 Years If We Don’t Give Up Eating Fish, Meat, and Dairy<p>20. 2004: Britain will Be Siberia by 2024<p>21. 2008: Arctic will Be Ice Free by 2018<p>22. 2008: Climate Genius Al Gore Predicts Ice-Free Arctic by 2013<p>23. 2009: Climate Genius Prince Charles Says we Have 96 Months to Save World<p>24. 2009: UK Prime Minister Says 50 Days to ‘Save The Planet From Catastrophe’<p>25. 2009: Climate Genius Al Gore Moves 2013 Prediction of Ice-Free Arctic to 2014<p>26. 2013: Arctic Ice-Free by 2015<p>27. 2014: Only 500 Days Before ‘Climate Chaos’<p>28. 1968: Overpopulation Will Spread Worldwide<p>29. 1970: World Will Use Up All its Natural Resources<p>30. 1966: Oil Gone in Ten Years<p>31. 1972: Oil Depleted in 20 Years<p>32. 1977: Department of Energy Says Oil will Peak in 1990s<p>33. 1980: Peak Oil In 2000<p>34. 1996: Peak Oil in 2020<p>35. 2002: Peak Oil in 2010<p>36. 2006: Super Hurricanes!<p>37. 2005 : Manhattan Underwater by 2015<p>38. 1970: Urban Citizens Will Require Gas Masks by 1985<p>39. 1970: Nitrogen buildup Will Make All Land Unusable<p>40. 1970: Decaying Pollution Will Kill all the Fish<p>41. 1970s: Killer Bees!<p>42. 1975: The Cooling World and a Drastic Decline in Food Production<p>43. 1969: Worldwide Plague, Overwhelming Pollution, Ecological Catastrophe, Virtual Collapse of UK by End of 20th Century<p>44. 1972: Pending Depletion and Shortages of Gold, Tin, Oil, Natural Gas, Copper, Aluminum<p>45. 1970: Oceans Dead in a Decade, US Water Rationing by 1974, Food Rationing by 1980<p>46. 1988: World’s Leading Climate Expert Predicts Lower Manhattan Underwater by 2018<p>47. 2005: Fifty Million Climate Refugees by the Year 2020<p>48. 2000: Snowfalls Are Now a Thing of the Past<p>49.1989: UN Warns That Entire Nations Wiped Off the Face of the Earth by 2000 From Global Warming<p>50. 2011: Washington Post Predicted Cherry Blossoms Blooming in Winter<p>I think we&#x27;ll be just fine.