There is a good chance SBF will be released on bail so he does not have to spend time in detention in NYC. The charges against him are all nonviolent crimes. The question I have is if the judge releases him from custody, "Will SBF do more interviews?"<p>Lots of people are speculating on sentencing, some are comparing SBF to Holmes, but IMHO it's likely in this case he is going to plead guilty. Whatever comes out in a criminal trial, e.g., testimony, could be used against SBF in the civil cases brought by the SEC and CFTC. Assuming SBF will plead guilty, given the amount of the losses he has caused, which far exceed the amounts involved in Holmes' fraud, what sort of plea agreement will SBF be offered.<p>One theory of why these charges against SBF were brought so quickly is that the US attorney is extraordinarily confident he can obtain a conviction. The "brilliant" SBF's idiotic public behaviour after the bankruptcy filing has no doubt has made the government's job much easier. This makes sense because as many readers will know, generally federal prosecutors do not like to lose and they will not gamble. Their egos and reputations may be at stake. They want slam dunks. For Damian Williams this is probably a slam dunk. Assuming he does not make any significant mistakes.