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What Happened to All of Science’s Big Breakthroughs?

4 点作者 rdamico超过 2 年前

2 条评论

ProjectArcturis超过 2 年前
It's a combination of 1) inevitable diminishing returns -- we've done all the easy stuff and a lot of the hard stuff, and 2) institutional incentives now favor safe, predictable science, rather than high-risk speculative projects.
derbOac超过 2 年前
The paper being discussed in this article rings true to me but as I was pointing out on an earlier thread about it, I&#x27;m not sure that disruptive always has the meaning the authors intend.<p>I can think of papers or work in my field that would be <i>relatively</i> high in a disruption index in the way they define it, but that are probably specious. They&#x27;re papers that spurred new lines of research that are flashy and sound trendy but are ultimately theoretically and empirically empty and problematic.<p>It worries me a bit because these types of indices tend to get latched onto, and then get misinterpreted and abused, in conformance with Goodhart&#x27;s Law. Taken in context, the paper makes an important point, and adds a bit of important empirical information, but I think the situation might be worse or better than the article implies, because what&#x27;s disruptive isn&#x27;t necessarily good from the perspective of scientific progress.