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Ocean Surface Tipping Point Could Accelerate Climate Change

2 点作者 makerofspoons大约 2 年前

1 comment

aquarium87大约 2 年前
Or not. Humans have gone from 320 to 420 ppm carbon dioxide in from 1960 to 2020. This useless model pulls out all the stops to justify its existence, including a 1500+ ppm increase in C02. Lmao! Clowns.<p>&quot;Under this worst-case scenario, atmospheric CO2 concentrations increase to 1962 ppm by the year 2250&quot;<p>Or how about their definition of &quot;historical record&quot;?<p>“This model simulates a carbon cycle in the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere, along with the increasing oceanic carbon uptake in agreement with historical trends (Figure 1b).&quot;<p>What might this figure 1b show?<p>That the historical trends they talk about go from 1850 to 2020, but really from 1960-2020 if you look at it. In other words, not historical.<p>But it gets worse. If you look at figure 1b, you can see that actual observations only cover the period from 1980-2020, and the fit line is clearly tortured. Sure, they modeled 170 years and claim it fits the historical record. But they only used 40 years of &quot;historical record&quot;, and even that to a layman is highly suspect.<p>In 1980, there is far more uptake of C02 than the model suggests, and by 2020, there is less C02 uptake than the model suggests.<p>So yeah, garbage study using 40 years of data that clearly doesn&#x27;t fit the model and using a ppm of almost 5x what we have now.<p>Also, ocean accounts for 30% of C02 uptake, and this says it may decrease 1&#x2F;3rd under the worst circumstances. This means the earth could lose 10% overall (not really!) of its carbon uptake ability.<p>But that 10% could be offset by a 14% increase in land biomass C02 uptake.<p>Pop quiz: how much more carbon does earth&#x27;s land sequester if the C02 in the atmosphere increases 450%??