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Why You’ll Probably Never Own a Mac with an ARM Processor (2012)

21 点作者 leonidasv大约 2 年前

2 条评论

philwelch大约 2 年前
There’s a lot in this article that doesn’t merit too much discussion, but here’s a couple of interesting points.<p>Here’s the closest the actual article comes to making a thesis statement that matches the headline:<p>&gt; But there is next to no chance Apple will replace Intel chips for ARM-based ones any time in the next five years.<p>“Never” vs. “in the next five years” is a pretty big difference, but the actual claim in the article was correct. The first M1 Macs came out in 2020, more than five years after 2012. The headline was wrong, but headlines are often not written by the writer of the original article. That seems weird and bad to me but that’s not the author’s fault here.<p>&gt; Intel is the Apple of the microchip world: everyone is at least a year behind Intel when it comes to competing with their cutting-edge technology and design in the x86 space. Because of Intel’s manufacturing strengths, they can make the entirety of their chips smaller (and therefore more power-efficient) than anyone else around, not just their CPU cores.<p>It turned out that TSMC caught up to and surpassed Intel. It’s tempting to prophesy that Intel will never catch up to TSMC based on the performance of the past few years, but things can change over time.
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mustacheemperor大约 2 年前
&gt;But Intel’s now seen the light. They have almost infinite resources to throw at the problem of catching up. And they’re going to do so quickly.<p>&gt;“By 2014, Intel will have gotten their power management ahead of everyone else and be using their manufacturing muscle as a major advantage in the mobile landscape,” predicts Kanter.<p>Hm, I&#x27;d be interested in a postmortem analysis on why these predictions seemed realistic in 2012 and why they so drastically did not pan out over the following decade.
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