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Japan's shrinking population faces point of no return

31 点作者 jerryjerryjerry大约 2 年前

3 条评论

Bran_son大约 2 年前
&gt; Conservative policymakers and a cautious public mean Japan is much more likely to look for internal, rather than external, solutions to the demographic crunch, despite projections pointing to the inevitability of more immigration.<p>Suppose they choose to &quot;solve&quot; it with immigration - what will happen? It will enable their current fertility-destroying system to persist, shrinking their population indefinitely, while supplementing it with immigrants.<p>Social-economic systems that cause below-replacement fertility are in this way much like parasites, feeding off the host nation. Without immigration, eventually this will cause enough of a crisis, or a high enough fever, to continue the analogy, that will allow the nation to shake off the parasite and change their system to something sustainable.<p>But immigration functions as anesthetic and immunosuppressant - keeping the host population just comfortable enough that they go gentle into that good night, and giving the parasite economic system a new host to feed on.
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gumby大约 2 年前
Meanwhile per capita GDP and automation race forward, making it increasingly easier to look after an aging population.<p>I don&#x27;t see the problem with population decline, especially in advanced economies. As a bonus, reduced population in such places has a disproportionate effect on emissions.
powerapple大约 2 年前
Maybe we shouldn&#x27;t worry about the population, maybe we could change the way economy works? The model we are using basically count people as slaves, the output of a slave is a constant, hence in order to sustain economy, we need more slaves. I don&#x27;t like it at all. I don&#x27;t think the output is going to be dependent on population, it is going to be dependent on technology. We shouldn&#x27;t worry about shrinking population at all.
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