Is the AI Boom Already Over?

We&#x27;ve kind of been through this already with autonomous vehicles a decade ago.<p>In a demonstration capacity autonomous vehicles were mindblowing. In the real world the novelty wears off quick, and what remains is a bit of a disappointment.<p>Of course, the demos helped churn up many bajillions of dollars in investment money, and many companies with long runways continue to tinker away at the problem. Level 4 AVs are dramatically better than a decade ago, and yet still totally shitty relative to real to real drivers.<p>What has become apparent is that these companies and their investors are not at all interested in solving any real transportation problems.<p>They are interested in getting between you and things you want to do, so they can set up a gate and charge you money to pass through it.

&gt; the bots are still prone to basic errors that make them impossible to trust<p>This has been my frustration. If I don&#x27;t bring my own domain knowledge, carefully review, and provide follow up prompts I get garbage output. Novices don&#x27;t have great domain knowledge and likely overestimate the quality of the output. It&#x27;s not worth the effort.<p>It&#x27;s helpful to know what chatgpt can&#x27;t handle: math, visual, spacial, safety. It&#x27;s pretty limited.

Sure, you can define &quot;the AI Boom&quot; in such as a way as to say &quot;The AI Boom is over.&quot; No problem. But... taking a step back and looking at the bigger picture, I&#x27;d say that any slight, contemporary, dip in interest in AI is just that: a dip. A momentary blip at a point in time, hardly the harbinger of any larger trend. There&#x27;s no reason I see to expect anything less than for AI research to continue, and for AI to become progressively more and more useful.<p>So no, not in an bigger, more universal sense, would I agree that &quot;the AI Boom is over&quot;. If anything, it&#x27;s just starting.

It can&#x27;t be over because it never arrived in any real, substantial way.<p>We&#x27;ve been waiting for some real &quot;intelligence&quot; from AI for decades now.<p>Creating word salad from ingredients found on the internet isn&#x27;t it.

Ha, no I don’t think so.<p>This is how we experience the slope of technical change over a period of months: ___<p>This is closer to the slope of technical change over that time period:<p>&#x2F;