Otis: Tropical storm to category 5 hurricane in 24h

I&#x27;ve been following the storm on Windy[1] for a few hours and it&#x27;s really insane how massive it is..<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.windy.com&#x2F;-Satellite-satellite?satellite,18.937,-95.273,6,m:d4Yadpl" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.windy.com&#x2F;-Satellite-satellite?satellite,18.937,...</a>

Most of 24h predictions showed Category 1 or below: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;twitter.com&#x2F;burgwx&#x2F;status&#x2F;1716972676471021754" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;twitter.com&#x2F;burgwx&#x2F;status&#x2F;1716972676471021754</a><p>Quite a reminder about our forecasting capabilities.

Even though this is in Mexico, the beginning of this year has taught me to expect PG&amp;E outages all across the Bay Area.

I&#x27;ve never really paid too much attention to NOAA releases. Are they normally this impassioned?<p>&gt; A nightmare scenario is unfolding for southern Mexico this evening with rapidly intensifying Otis approaching the coastline.

Not mentioned is that this is the second time this year that a hurricane has undergone nearly record-breaking rapid intensification.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Hurricane_Lee_(2023)" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Hurricane_Lee_(2023)</a>

Unsurprisingly more energy trapped in the land|sea layer than in years past leads to:<p><i>Hurricanes are now twice as likely to zip from minor to whopper than decades ago, study says</i><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;phys.org&#x2F;news&#x2F;2023-10-hurricanes-minor-whopper-decades.html" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;phys.org&#x2F;news&#x2F;2023-10-hurricanes-minor-whopper-decad...</a><p><pre><code> With warmer oceans serving as fuel, Atlantic hurricanes are now more than twice as likely as before to rapidly intensify from wimpy minor hurricanes to powerful and catastrophic, a study said Thursday. </code></pre> Andra J. Garner, <i>Observed increases in North Atlantic tropical cyclone peak intensification rates</i><p>Scientific Reports (2023).<p>DOI: 10.1038&#x2F;s41598-023-42669-y.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.nature.com&#x2F;articles&#x2F;s41598-023-42669-y" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.nature.com&#x2F;articles&#x2F;s41598-023-42669-y</a>

Poor Acapulco.

Yikes. <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ventusky.com&#x2F;?p=14.8;-99.7;5&amp;l=satellite&amp;t=20231025&#x2F;0410" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ventusky.com&#x2F;?p=14.8;-99.7;5&amp;l=satellite&amp;t=20231...</a>

Any HN users in the area? Plz. report? (if internet &amp; power isn&#x27;t down)

I dont see a 5 on any models at all.

City of one million, this is bad.