The Supreme Court reverses cases it gets more often than not. But here, there's already a circuit split. And the last case of its kind was a 4-4 split, so if you're in to reading tea leaves, this is a toss-up. But this time I don't think that Kagan will recuse herself and I don't think that having argued the government's side in the previous case says anything about her personal beliefs on the matter.<p>In the Costco case, the problem was that the copy had to be "lawfully made under this title." With "this title" referring to US law, foreign copies need not apply. But that's kind of a silly technicality for the case to turn upon and a poor reading of the phrase. It's not as though international copies are being <i>unlawfully</i> made, after all. There's also the Berne copyright convention that applies pretty much everywhere, not to mention all the other agreements (including ACTA), and the direct influence the US exerts via the USTR and diplomatic pressure. Just look at Spain, for example, and how their copyright laws were forcibly influenced by the US. And they're far from being the only example.<p>But it may just come down to whether the justices think that the copyright holder is being ripped off via cheap imports, or whether US citizens are being ripped off by publishers. For the more legally inclined, Patently-O has a good writeup. Incidentally, I seem to recall hearing that at least one of the sitting justices reads it.<p><a href="http://www.patentlyo.com/patent/2012/04/supreme-court-to-hear-international-copyright-exhaustion-case.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.patentlyo.com/patent/2012/04/supreme-court-to-hea...</a><p>EDIT: I found this posted at Patently-O. It's a good analysis of the harm that limiting copyright exhaustion to US-manufactured works would cause:<p><a href="http://acrlog.org/2011/08/30/nothing-right-about-this-copyright-ruling/" rel="nofollow">http://acrlog.org/2011/08/30/nothing-right-about-this-copyri...</a>