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Ask HN: I am ready for the next AI winter

4 点作者 antipaul超过 1 年前
Do people think that there is too much hype around AI these days?<p>I know, chatGPT is here, and AGI is almost here - they say.<p>But are there significant new revenue streams from AI? Or other breakthrough “added value”?<p>Or, as my hypothesis goes:<p>Yes, there is real added value from recent AI developments, but it doesn’t outweigh all the hype.<p>Instead, too many companies across industries (finance, pharma, government) “waste” their attention on AI, instead of focusing on higher-value areas like getting good at data management, making quality software, and improving their management practices.<p>Therefore, an AI winter would actually do good, and let the world focus on higher value areas.<p>What do you think?

2 条评论

atticora超过 1 年前
I think it&#x27;s as significant as the rest of the computing revolution combined. We&#x27;re just now at the base of the S-curve and it&#x27;s already starting to reshape the economy, and fast. For good or ill it will be more disruptive than the transistor and maybe the printing press. And maybe, someday, the eucaryote. I&#x27;m somewhat optimistic, but also frightened enough to be prepping for disaster for the first time.<p>Evolution of intelligence was one of the most important things to ever happen on this rock, and this is a new form of actual intelligence with a much higher ceiling, in its infancy or prenatal.
h2odragon超过 1 年前
You can tell where theres still potential by the presence of the remoras sucking on it. The hype and press froth is a byproduct of the parasitic remora activity.<p>To mix a metaphor, the smoke is all we&#x27;ll see until the fire burns out. when there&#x27;s nothing left to leech, the rest of us will get to play with the leftover charcoal. That has proven to be useful in the past.<p>So broadly; yes: I agree. It&#x27;s just gonna be a while yet.