AGI won't happen<p>LLMs will improve asymptotically<p>Self driving will happen so badly it's put back in a box for another decade<p>Fusion experiments will get higher net energy yields but still won't be sustaining.<p>There may be a collision in LEO.<p>Increased launches mean at least some chance of fatality in ISS and other human space activity<p>Taiwan won't be invaded<p>Ukraine won't give up fighting<p>Covid will continue<p>Some small increments in cancer treatment will enter service.<p>5G and 6G will be boringly similar to existing data networking<p>More European economies will supply most energy during summer daylight hours from renewable sources.<p>The gulf stream won't disappear but will become less
predictable<p>No jetpacks or flying electric taxis. Maybe more delivery robots, but not self driving taxis<p>X's bankers will demand Musk reign himself in and he'll ignore them.<p>The US election will be a torrid shitshow.<p>Labor will return to power in the UK just as most of Europe turns right and becomes more insular.
Turmoil in the mideast<p>celebrities get divorced<p>middle aged white incel males fail to understand why hollywood keeps making movies for the small brown foreign females that vastly outnumber them for yet another year.<p>Yet another '3rd way' political movement whose real purpose is to peel off votes flowers during the summer and fall and then dies partway into november<p>Yet again pundits are treated like sages this week while it is forbidden to bring up what they said last week.<p>Food subscription service debutes, you pay a modest fee forever until you return to the store and shit out a weight equal to your purchases.<p>Mideastern superpower continues to be militarily untouchable until their enemies aquire 3, maybe 4 nukes.<p>Streamlined keyboards with only a single key that says 'BUY' are popular stocking stuffers.<p>America will continue to look more and more like the movie Bright. (we are the orcs)<p>A shadowy group starts giving thousands of 3D printed guns with 5 bullets each in them to the homeless. Millions of 2A fundies change their opinions overnight.<p>Children flock to a movie about quadrupeds, becomes huge hit.<p>Another generation will remain angry and sullun until they die instead of doing something.
Stocks keep going up, big tech companies keep getting bigger, bond yields remain the same or drift lower, inflation the same . Russia vs. Ukraine deadlocked. 2024 election very close in terms of Electoral College even though Biden wins popular vote, results may be contested.