I created this after reading <a href="https://erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-longer-than-you-think-a-statistical-model.html" rel="nofollow">https://erikbern.com/2019/04/15/why-software-projects-take-l...</a> a few years ago.<p>I was tired adding up time-related estimates to arrive at a due date. Now I ask teams for their time-related estimate (story points, weeks, etc) and a confidence on their estimate.<p>This tool runs 5k simulations to create a probabilistic roadmap. I hope others find it useful. Let me know if you have any suggestions!