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EU coal and gas collapse as wind and solar ascend

139 点作者 imartin2k超过 1 年前

16 条评论

mjburgess超过 1 年前
What goes missing in the analysis of energy sources is their geostrategic impact. The vast majority of government motivations for &#x27;green energy&#x27; is geostrategic.<p>Oil&#x2F;coal&#x2F;etc. is distributed &#x27;unhelpfully&#x27; for western and asian interests, and it&#x27;s use once. So the countries which have it must be permanently available for oil trade. Whereas with green energy, barring the provision of somewhat renewable metal supply, states do not need particularly complex diplomatic relationships.<p>The reason for the world&#x27;s attention now being drawn to the middle east isn&#x27;t as simple as Hamas. Europe needs trade open from the middle east, and it needs oil. This is at the heart of trying to balance interests in the region wrt israel.<p>Both china, us and europe are overwhelmingly against any disruption in the region which is why it hasnt spiraled into a full-blown regional conflict <i>yet</i>.<p>Issues such as these play strongly on the minds of states as they try to transition. China&#x27;s &quot;going green&quot; because its a net importer, and very worried about its dependence on russia and the middle east.<p>This, I think, should give us hope. Whilst going green is an economic hit, it&#x27;s a massive security boost. And states almost always trade wealth for security (, since, in the end, without secrutiy your wealth will disappear).
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misja111超过 1 年前
I&#x27;m sorry but this article is full of nonsense. I&#x27;m a firm proponent of renewable energy so I&#x27;d like it to be true, but there is no way in the world that the drop in gas- and coal energy generation in the EU last year was caused by the uptake of wind and solar.<p>The article states:<p>&gt; Europe’s coal electricity generation tanked by 26% and gas by 15% in 2023<p>According to links below, EU&#x27;s solar generation went up 25% in 2023, wind energy by 15%. But to put the numbers in perspective: total solar generated energy accounted for 259.99 GW in 2023, wind energy for 221 GW. In 2022, total energy consumption in the EU was 3300 GW (I couldn&#x27;t find the numbers for 2023). With other words, the increase of renewable energy accounted for only 2% of the EU&#x27;s total consumption.<p>So the drop in coal and gas production must have had other reasons, such as e.g. the soft winter.<p>Sources for EU wind and solar production:<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;energy.ec.europa.eu&#x2F;topics&#x2F;renewable-energy&#x2F;solar-energy_en#:~:text=The%20EU%20solar%20generation%20capacity,the%20spread%20of%20solar%20energy" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;energy.ec.europa.eu&#x2F;topics&#x2F;renewable-energy&#x2F;solar-en...</a>.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;energy.ec.europa.eu&#x2F;topics&#x2F;renewable-energy&#x2F;eu-wind-energy_en" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;energy.ec.europa.eu&#x2F;topics&#x2F;renewable-energy&#x2F;eu-wind-...</a>
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xbmcuser超过 1 年前
In 2023 China added more solar and wind power production to its grid than its annual consumption growth. People just see that they are still adding coal but they are reaching the tipping point where coal for electricity has started being replaced with renewables. With all the battery and solar production being added in the next few years I think they will also rapidly remove coal from their grid.
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eru超过 1 年前
Interestingly, in the years before the US managed to do more about their CO2 emissions than Europe. That&#x27;s because thanks to fracking the US move a large share of their energy generation towards natural gas, which burns &#x27;cleaner&#x27; than oil and coal. The EU has (almost?) no fracking.<p>And in an even greater tragedy: the Germans had turned their back on almost emission free nuclear power, and in practice had turned towards very dirty coal.
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defrost超过 1 年前
Coal usage is on the downturn in almost all countries, India aside. Global Coal demand appears to have peaked and will decline from this point forward.<p>From the International Energy Agency:<p><i>Global coal supply likely peaked in 2023 and then to decline</i><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.iea.org&#x2F;reports&#x2F;coal-2023&#x2F;supply" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.iea.org&#x2F;reports&#x2F;coal-2023&#x2F;supply</a><p>International Energy Agency Global Coal Report December 2023 (released Friday 15th December 2023)<p><pre><code> Global coal production is forecast to have risen by 1.8% in 2023, with continued growth in India, China and Indonesia more than offsetting declines in the United States and the European Union. Thus, 2023 marks another all-time high in global coal production, totalling 8 741 Mt. [...] For the forecast period, we expect a net reduction in global coal production starting in 2024, which would mean global coal production peaking in 2023 in line with global coal demand. Ongoing declines in the United States and the European Union are likely to be complemented by reduced production volumes in Indonesia, as Chinese demand for seaborne thermal coal is likely to decrease. The last bastion of remarkable growth in production is India, serving the growing demand from its power sector. Our model suggests that declines in other countries will more than offset this growth, resulting in global production of 8 394 Mt in 2026.</code></pre>
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sharpshadow超过 1 年前
Unfortunately this transition comes at a price. Average household power prices for 2023 are 45,73ct&#x2F;kWh in Germany[1] even after a tax reduction in 2022.<p>Leaving nuclear energy behind while committing to exit coal as well in addition to being cut out cheap gas places Germany in a very difficult position. Especially to maintain their industry.<p>For main European countries the kWh prices are rising as well[2].<p>1. <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bdew.de&#x2F;service&#x2F;daten-und-grafiken&#x2F;bdew-strompreisanalyse&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bdew.de&#x2F;service&#x2F;daten-und-grafiken&#x2F;bdew-strompre...</a> 2. (PDF) 5.8.2 <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.destatis.de&#x2F;DE&#x2F;Themen&#x2F;Wirtschaft&#x2F;Preise&#x2F;Publikationen&#x2F;Energiepreise&#x2F;energiepreisentwicklung-pdf-5619001.pdf?__blob=publicationFile" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.destatis.de&#x2F;DE&#x2F;Themen&#x2F;Wirtschaft&#x2F;Preise&#x2F;Publikat...</a>
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Twisell超过 1 年前
I would love a good new but the use of percentages everywhere in the post smell fishy...<p>&quot;Annual change (%)&quot; for different generations mode: Huzzza significant low from 2022 while this year we have a hot winter and 2022 was especially cold.<p>Later &quot;Share by source (%)&quot; but no indication of the overall trend do we produce more or less overall?<p>I don&#x27;t say it&#x27;s false, but should someone want to dress some data point and bend reality a little to prove a point this would be a &quot;good&quot; strategy.
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ZeroGravitas超过 1 年前
This is a brief summary of this report:<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;ember-climate.org&#x2F;insights&#x2F;research&#x2F;european-electricity-review-2024&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;ember-climate.org&#x2F;insights&#x2F;research&#x2F;european-electri...</a><p>That page also links out to other coverage at Reuters and others.
sschueller超过 1 年前
Exactly one year ago Seymour Hersh wrote about the pipeline being blown up by the US. Today he posted this follow up: <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;open.substack.com&#x2F;pub&#x2F;seymourhersh&#x2F;p&#x2F;the-nord-stream-pipelines-and-the" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;open.substack.com&#x2F;pub&#x2F;seymourhersh&#x2F;p&#x2F;the-nord-stream...</a><p>Also today the Swedish investigators suspended their investigation. &quot;The conclusion of the investigation is that Swedish jurisdiction does not apply and that the investigation therefore should be closed,&quot; the Swedish Prosecution Authority said in a statement. [1]<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.reuters.com&#x2F;world&#x2F;europe&#x2F;sweden-ends-investigation-into-nord-stream-pipeline-blasts-2024-02-07&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.reuters.com&#x2F;world&#x2F;europe&#x2F;sweden-ends-investigati...</a>
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wkat4242超过 1 年前
Good news from the climate though of course a little late.<p>And it isn&#x27;t driven by climate concerns alone, our dependency on Russia has taken its toll and probably helped a lot to drive this change home.
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NotGMan超过 1 年前
Another thing that is collapsing in the EU are the wallets of citizens due to high electricity price.
roenxi超过 1 年前
&gt; People and businesses used less electricity overall, with demand dropping by 3.4% compared to 2022.<p>The EU isn&#x27;t even managing to tread water with this transition. Over the last 20 years they&#x27;ve shed ~15% [0] of their energy per capita and more than that in places like Germany or France.<p>This policy might look sensible if we hit peak oil sometimes soon, but realistically this is an indictment of the anti-nuclear movement who caused a lot of unnecessary harm. We didn&#x27;t have to do this by squeezing people&#x27;s living standards. That energy is needed to promote high living standards.<p>Frankly I&#x27;m surprised that the body politic are taking it (although I&#x27;ll cough a few times and mention Brexit, AfD and apparently the French are unhappy).<p>[0] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;ourworldindata.org&#x2F;grapher&#x2F;per-capita-energy-use?tab=chart&amp;country=~OWID_EU27">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;ourworldindata.org&#x2F;grapher&#x2F;per-capita-energy-use?tab...</a>
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JanSt超过 1 年前
Germany plans to build dozens of new gas peaker plants. That&#x27;s a big problem of renewables: you have to keep a huge backup infrastructure. So while your usage of gas and coal goes down, you still have to spend huge sums on the infrastructure - grid, backup, etc. The generation is very cheap, but trying to go 100% renewables is very expensive.<p>No one wanted to build the gas plants so now Germany decided to pay not for generated electricity but for available capacity. Sadly, the final nuclear reactors where shut down last year.
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seydor超过 1 年前
This is good, more so we can stop supporting every dictator on earth
neonsunset超过 1 年前
It is a crime that it&#x27;s not nuclear that is ascending (and whichever group is responsible for this <i>should</i> get jail time without parole).
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hulitu超过 1 年前
&gt; EU coal and gas collapse as wind and solar ascend<p>Ascend to heaven. Yes, people have started to install solar panels on old houses. And preparing to cut old, (renewable), forests to install wind, but at the same time they are promoting gas as the next energy source.