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Ask HN: Any rising concerns about H5N1?

2 点作者 ottaborra大约 1 年前
Not sure if this is paranoia, or the flames of a conspiracy, it does seem like the concerns are growing at a pace akin to early covid. What do you folks think?

3 条评论

JSDevOps大约 1 年前
It's been around for a lot longer than Covid and it's not really caught on so to speak.
noduerme大约 1 年前
If you mean that the virus is outpacing the surveillance and the public health announcements, then yes, it feels similar to Covid in January&#x2F;February of 2020. The difference being that its not human-to-human yet. The fact that it&#x27;s jumped to mammals hasn&#x27;t produced the appropriate level of concern, and unfortunately if it jumps to humans we&#x27;re going to be behind the curve again. I wasn&#x27;t the only person making arrangements in Feb. 2020, and I suspect I&#x27;m not the only person now. Thankfully I&#x27;m more prepared now, mentally and materially, for what a pandemic lockdown looks like. But H5N1 could be a very different beast, if the CFR is as high as 50% and the virus is in the food supply. At that point you have to worry about not just the virus, but the total breakdown of society. Forget understaffed hospitals, who&#x27;s going to staff the water treatment plants and the nuclear plants? In Covid we were more or less able to keep food from running out. A virus with such a high mortality rate as H5N1 might burn itself out rather quickly. I&#x27;m more concerned about the state of anarchy that would erupt and possibly last for a long time. I&#x27;m prepared to isolate or mask or live on canned food for a few months until there&#x27;s a vaccine. I&#x27;m prepared to defend my home from the odd intruder. But I&#x27;m not prepared to defend it against pillaging hordes of looters.<p>So, concern, yes. This is a ticking time bomb. Let&#x27;s hope that if&#x2F;when it jumps to humans, it&#x27;s either 98% less deadly than what&#x27;s been seen in opportunistic crossover H5N1 infections, or else that it&#x27;s geographically contained until vaccine production can be ramped up.<p>The vaccine stockpile of ~5M doses should be used to create fences around any suspected cases and all of their contacts. That&#x27;s the only real hope.
stop50大约 1 年前
My country learned from BSE, no no concerns.