Smart analysis that aged like milk, given the subsequent 17 years of record heat trends. This is a good example of the dangers of being too in the weeds of complexity to not see the big simple picture, the sometimes blinding bias of contrarianism, and how methods of science alone are insufficient guides to solving all of society's problems.<p>One might come to a much clearer conclusion about carbon by looking at the incentives of societies to consume carbon, our struggles with collective decision making, and our very strong tendency to create tragedies of the commons.<p>If you follow the 'needs more research' approach and wait until all the data are in (as Freeman Dyson essentially proposes here), you may be way too late to address and overcome the problem. In other words, science is a method of finding certainty, but often we find ourselves in situations that demand acting from positions of uncertainty, where we have to rely more on judgment calls based our understanding of human behavior.<p>Great points about the need for heretical science tho! Sometimes heretics are right, just not in this case.