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US Two-Year Yield Below 10-Year for First Time Since July 2022

1 点作者 qclibre229 个月前

1 comment

jfengel9 个月前
It &quot;disinverted&quot;. And apparently disinversion presages a recession. Just as inversion does.<p>People got out of stocks because of course they did. Their money had to go somewhere, so they put it into bonds -- short term bonds, driving up the price, and therefore lowering the yield. The bonds are short term because it&#x27;s just parking the money, preparing to take advantage of the next market bubble.<p>Meantime, the Fed is going to keep doing what economists tell it to do: keep interest rates up while inflation is still above the target. But the stock markets want their free money, and if they don&#x27;t get it, they&#x27;ll throw a fit of pique.<p>All of which means diddly divided by squat when it comes to a recession. Maybe one is coming; maybe it isn&#x27;t. This doesn&#x27;t affect it at all.