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A recent surge in global warming is not detectable yet

14 点作者 vixen997 个月前

3 条评论

smallnix7 个月前
So no acceleration of the climate warming rate since 1970 according to this paper, this is surprising to me.<p>Perhaps currently accelerating (e.g. methane release) and decelerating effects (e.g. oceans) cancel out so far?
madaxe_again7 个月前
Unless I’m really misreading this, this paper reaches the utterly unsurprising conclusion that when you have a larger dataset, an individual datapoint must deviate further from the mean in order to have a lower probability of being noise? They’ve concluded that a standard deviation is a standard deviation?<p>I mean, great, but this is… quite well known.
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r7217 个月前
From a comment in &#x2F;r&#x2F;climatechange&#x2F;:<p>&gt;The paper does not dispute there is a warming at some rate. What they want to determine using statistics is when the rate changes; as in, the change changing faster, or the change changing slower. Although the trend is warming, there is a lot of noise, random accelerations and braking, so they claim it is statistically difficult to pinpoint when the changing change changes.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;old.reddit.com&#x2F;r&#x2F;climatechange&#x2F;comments&#x2F;1g6vubd&#x2F;a_recent_surge_in_global_warming_is_not&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;old.reddit.com&#x2F;r&#x2F;climatechange&#x2F;comments&#x2F;1g6vubd&#x2F;a_re...</a>
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