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Final Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast: 50.015% Harris

5 点作者 epaga6 个月前

1 comment

ZeroGravitas6 个月前
There&#x27;s an interesting geeky story here about how partisan polling firms have learned to juke the stats to manipulate these polling aggregates (and betting&#x2F;prediction markets).<p>Its not totally new, and I&#x27;m genuinely confused about whether it actually helps in a normal election where turnout is key so seeming just behind is possibly optimal. But in a world where false accusations of voting irregularities have already resulted in riots and deaths it&#x27;s probably something we&#x27;ll be talking about in the future.