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Swiss Re study: Waymo is safer than even the most advanced human-driven vehicles

41 点作者 ra75 个月前

6 条评论

jqpabc1235 个月前
How to do better than humans:<p>- Never drive on unfamiliar roads<p>- Never exceed the speed limit or follow too closely<p>- Slam on the brakes at the earliest sign of any trouble. If a human driver rear ends you in the process, it&#x27;s their fault and will be reported as such.<p>- Never drive on the freeway --- i.e. at high speed where reaction times are more limited.<p>Bascially, only address a safe subset of what human drivers do and then delare victory.
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someotherperson5 个月前
Anecdata, but I&#x27;ve been in a Waymo that avoided an accident that I wouldn&#x27;t have been able to. It would have been a head on collision around a tight, two-way bend with parked cars on either side. That alone gave me a fair bit of comfort, given that it&#x27;s 1-0 in Waymo&#x27;s favor so far.
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hindsightbias5 个月前
Is there evidence human drivers are safe? I’d think this would be obvious.
aanet5 个月前
Direct link to the Waymo paper (PDF) [1]<p>TLDR: Waymo claims its autonomy is safer than the &quot;best human drivers with latest cars with latest safety features&quot; and way safer than the &quot;average human driving population&quot;<p>I&#x27;m still digesting the paper, but a few quotes below:<p>QUOTE: When examining claims filed under third party liability policies, the Waymo ADS yielded 9 property damage and 2 bodily injury claims, arising from 10 unique collisions, over 25.3 million miles. Two of the property damage claims and both bodily injury claims are still open (unresolved) and could close without any liability payment. In comparison, the overall driving population benchmark was expected to have 78 property damage and 26 bodily injury claims for an equivalent amount of driving exposure in the deployed driving regions. The latest-generation HDV benchmark would be expected to result in 63 property damage and 21 bodily injury claims.<p>When compared to the <i>overall driving population benchmark</i>, the Waymo ADS saw an 88% reduction in third-party property damage claims (ADSPDL: 0.36 [0.163, 0.675] vs OverallPDL: 3.08 [3.063, 3.088] claims per million miles), and a 92% reduction in third-party bodily injury claims (ADSBI: 0.08 [0.010, 0.285] vs OverallBI: 1.04 [1.035, 1.047] claims per million miles), respectively.<p>...<p>When compared to the latest-generation HDV benchmark, the Waymo ADS recorded an 86% reduction in third-party property damage claims (ADSPDL: 0.36 [0.163, 0.675] vs Latest-GenerationPDL: 2.49 [2.461, 2.515] claims per million miles) and a 90% reduction in third-party bodily injury claims (ADSBI: 0.08 [0.010, 0.285] vs Latest-GenerationBI: 0.82 [0.809, 0.839] claims per million miles) were observed<p>&#x2F;QUOTE<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;storage.googleapis.com&#x2F;waymo-uploads&#x2F;files&#x2F;documents&#x2F;safety&#x2F;Comparison%20of%20Waymo%20and%20Human-Driven%20Vehicles%20at%2025M%20miles.pdf" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;storage.googleapis.com&#x2F;waymo-uploads&#x2F;files&#x2F;documents...</a>
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hulitu5 个月前
&gt; Swiss Re study: Waymo is safer than even the most advanced human-driven vehicles<p>on Waymo.com. No conflict of interest, whatsoever. &#x2F;s (Intel is also better than AMD on benchmarks on intel.com)
metalman5 个月前
this is a completely false statement &quot;waymo&quot; is infinitly more dangerous than any human driver, and has failure modes that are impossible for humans,as it could be hijacked or go out of control, and kill every rider at once. ..,.beep.....beep....click.....whirrrrr....new unlimited speed mode enabled,...beep...,.beeep......zoooooooooom...... kersmashafuckingboom.,..beep..,.
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