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Bird Flu Risk Dashboard Using Prediction Markets (Current Risk "Low Chance")

30 点作者 nathan_young4 个月前

2 条评论

nathan_young4 个月前
Happy to answer questions as to the sources used (Kalshi and Metaculus) and the conditional probabilities assigned: - P(bird flu as bad as covid | 10,000 US cases) = .5 - P(bird flu as bad as covid | CDC travel advisory) = .1
llmfan4 个月前
Seems too narrow to be a website.<p>Maybe a site where you get overviews like this... to a prompt.<p>&quot;Make me a dashboard on the current Moon race. And one on Taiwan invsaion. And one on AGI timelines.&quot;<p>&quot;Yes, send me an email if there&#x27;s a major shift in any of them&quot;
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