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Statistical analysis shows Romney's new Twitter followers are fake

11 点作者 alexismadrigal将近 13 年前

3 条评论

Turing_Machine将近 13 年前
"We did not find a similar pattern in Barack Obama's recent followers. "<p>Why would you expect the patterns to be remotely similar? Obama has been the President for over 3 years. Romney has been a presidential candidate for a few months.<p>"Our test is based on the underlying assumption that the followers of Twitter accounts tend to display a some kind of general indegree distribution."<p>Unwarranted assumption. It could be that many new people are joining Twitter JUST to follow the Romney campaign.<p>"Selected the twenty accounts closest in size to both Romney and Obama,"<p>I'm not sure why anyone would consider this a valid sampling technique.<p>"The median number of followers for Romney's new followers was 5, whereas the median for the comparison group was 27. This represents a stark, and statistically significant difference. If you are a statistics nerd, like us, you might want to know that the p-value on this was 0.0000. "<p>Not if the "comparison group" is completely bogus.
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dmlorenzetti将近 13 年前
The graphs comparing the "indegree" distribution of each candidate's new followers to that of comparable accounts would be much more informative if they showed the <i>distribution</i> of distributions.<p>In other words, show the range of indegree distributions from the 20 comparison accounts (not just their average).
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toomuchcoffee将近 13 年前
This is awesome. <i>The Atlantic</i> just made up for its reddit spamming (sort of).